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JPN Japan - J-League · Wedstrijd ·

JEF Utd Chiba vs Machida Zelvia

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Thuis form
Projected score1–22.56 expected goals
Uit form
Thuiswinst24%
Gelijkspel28%
Uitwinst47%
Full model forecastUitwinstTier A · 47% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callUitwinst47% selection probability
Projected score1–2JEF Utd ChibaMachida Zelvia
Expected goals2.56Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Onder53% for the selected side
Beide teams scorenNee54% for the selected side
Expected corners9.0Onder 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectieWaarschijnlijkheidEerlijke odds
24% / 28% / 47%WedstrijdresultaatUitwinst47%2.13
Derived from 1X2 · excludes JEF Utd Chiba win (24.3%)Dubbele KansX275.7%1.32
Boven 47% · Onder 53%Goals 2.5Onder53%1.89
Ja 46% · Nee 54%Beide teams scorenNee54%1.85
2.56 total expected goalsExacte score1–2
9.0 expected match cornersHoekschoppenOnder 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin8.3%Largest probability gapJEF Utd Chiba winDifference-1.0 pp
OutcomeVoorspellingEerlijke oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
JEF Utd Chiba win24%4.173.7025%-1.0 pp
Gelijkspel28%3.573.2028.9%-0.9 pp
Machida Zelvia win47%2.132.0046.2%+0.8 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

JEF Utd Chiba0.81

Thuis share of expected goals 31.6%

Total expected goals2.56Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Boven 47% · Onder 53%

Machida Zelvia1.75

Uit share of expected goals 68.4%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitJa 46% · Nee 54%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Thuis-context · form sequence

JEF Utd Chiba

0.60pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins1Drawn0Losses4Punten3

SignalThuis matches over 2.5: 3/5

Uit-context · form sequence

Machida Zelvia

2.20pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins3Drawn2Losses0Punten11

SignalThuis failed to score: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
24%
Gewonnen probability excluding draw
47%
3
Points from supplied form
11
0.81
Expected goals
1.75
JEF Utd ChibaMachida Zelvia
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01JEF Utd Chiba signalThuis matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Machida Zelvia signalThuis failed to score: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk53% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Gelijkspel probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

JEF Utd Chiba vs Machida Zelvia FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Uitwinst · Projected score 1–2 · 47% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

JEF Utd Chiba gewonnen 24%,Gelijkspel 28%,Machida Zelvia gewonnen 47%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.56 · Boven 2.5 47% · Current selection Onder