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JPN Japão - J-League · Partida ·

JEF Utd Chiba vs Machida Zelvia

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Mandante form
Projected score1–22.56 expected goals
Visitante form
Vitória da casa24%
Empate28%
Vitória visitante47%
Full model forecastVitória visitanteTier A · 47% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVitória visitante47% selection probability
Projected score1–2JEF Utd ChibaMachida Zelvia
Expected goals2.56Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Abaixo53% for the selected side
Ambas as equipes marcamNão54% for the selected side
Expected corners9.0Abaixo 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSeleçãoProbabilidadeOdds justas
24% / 28% / 47%Resultado da partidaVitória visitante47%2.13
Derived from 1X2 · excludes JEF Utd Chiba win (24.3%)Dupla ChanceX275.7%1.32
Acima 47% · Abaixo 53%Goals 2.5Abaixo53%1.89
Sim 46% · Não 54%Ambas as equipes marcamNão54%1.85
2.56 total expected goalsPlacar exato1–2
9.0 expected match cornersEscanteiosAbaixo 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin8.3%Largest probability gapJEF Utd Chiba winDifference-1.0 pp
OutcomePrevisãoOdds justasReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
JEF Utd Chiba win24%4.173.7025%-1.0 pp
Empate28%3.573.2028.9%-0.9 pp
Machida Zelvia win47%2.132.0046.2%+0.8 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

JEF Utd Chiba0.81

Mandante share of expected goals 31.6%

Total expected goals2.56Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Acima 47% · Abaixo 53%

Machida Zelvia1.75

Visitante share of expected goals 68.4%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitSim 46% · Não 54%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Mandante-context · form sequence

JEF Utd Chiba

0.60pts / match
Jogos5Wins1Drawn0Losses4Pontos3

SignalMandante matches over 2.5: 3/5

Visitante-context · form sequence

Machida Zelvia

2.20pts / match
Jogos5Wins3Drawn2Losses0Pontos11

SignalMandante failed to score: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
24%
Ganhou probability excluding draw
47%
3
Points from supplied form
11
0.81
Expected goals
1.75
JEF Utd ChibaMachida Zelvia
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01JEF Utd Chiba signalMandante matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Machida Zelvia signalMandante failed to score: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk53% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Empate probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

JEF Utd Chiba vs Machida Zelvia FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vitória visitante · Projected score 1–2 · 47% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

JEF Utd Chiba ganhou 24%,Empate 28%,Machida Zelvia ganhou 47%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.56 · Acima 2.5 47% · Current selection Abaixo