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BGR Bulgaria First League · Final ·

Dunav Ruse vs Arda Kardzhali

Prediction review

Home form
Final score0–2Forecast 1–1
Away form
Home win27%
Draw27%
Away win46%
Market-based forecastAway winTier B · 46% selection probability
Prediction Won
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callAway win46% selection probability
Projected score1–1Dunav RuseArda Kardzhali
Expected goals2.32Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Under59% for the selected side
Both teams scoreNo53% for the selected side
Expected corners8.7Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
27% / 27% / 46%Match resultAway win46%2.17
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Dunav Ruse win (26.8%)Double chanceX273.2%1.37
Over 41% · Under 59%Goals 2.5Under59%1.69
Yes 47% · No 53%Both teams scoreNo53%1.89
2.32 total expected goalsCorrect score1–1
8.7 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin6.9%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimNone
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Dunav Ruse win27%3.703.7025.3%
Draw27%3.703.5026.7%
Arda Kardzhali win46%2.171.9548%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Dunav Ruse1.03

Home share of expected goals 44.4%

Total expected goals2.32Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Over 41% · Under 59%

Arda Kardzhali1.29

Away share of expected goals 55.6%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitYes 47% · No 53%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Dunav Ruse

0.40pts / match
Played5Wins0Drawn2Losses3Points2

SignalHome failed to score: 2/5

Away-context · form sequence

Arda Kardzhali

1.00pts / match
Played5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Points5

SignalAway matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
27%
Win probability excluding draw
46%
2
Points from supplied form
5
1.03
Expected goals
1.29
Dunav RuseArda Kardzhali
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Dunav Ruse signalHome failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Arda Kardzhali signalAway matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk54% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

Dunav Ruse vs Arda Kardzhali FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Away win · Projected score 1–1 · 46% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Dunav Ruse win 27%,Draw 27%,Arda Kardzhali win 46%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.32 · Over 2.5 41% · Current selection Under