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BGR Bulgaria - Prima Liga · Final ·

Dunav Ruse vs Arda Kardzhali

Prediction review

Gazde form
Final score0–2Predicție 1–1
Oaspeți form
Victorie gazde27%
Egal27%
Victorie oaspeți46%
Market-based forecastVictorie oaspețiTier B · 46% selection probability
Prediction Câștigat
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictorie oaspeți46% selection probability
Projected score1–1Dunav RuseArda Kardzhali
Expected goals2.32Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Sub59% for the selected side
Ambele echipe marcheazăNu53% for the selected side
Expected corners8.7Sub 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecțieProbabilitateCotă corectă
27% / 27% / 46%Rezultatul meciuluiVictorie oaspeți46%2.17
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Dunav Ruse win (26.8%)Șansă dublăX273.2%1.37
Peste 41% · Sub 59%Goals 2.5Sub59%1.69
Da 47% · Nu 53%Ambele echipe marcheazăNu53%1.89
2.32 total expected goalsScor corect1–1
8.7 expected match cornersCornereSub 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin6.9%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimNiciuna
OutcomePredicțieCotă corectăReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Dunav Ruse win27%3.703.7025.3%
Egal27%3.703.5026.7%
Arda Kardzhali win46%2.171.9548%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Dunav Ruse1.03

Gazde share of expected goals 44.4%

Total expected goals2.32Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Peste 41% · Sub 59%

Arda Kardzhali1.29

Oaspeți share of expected goals 55.6%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitDa 47% · Nu 53%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Gazde-context · form sequence

Dunav Ruse

0.40pts / match
Jucate5Wins0Drawn2Losses3Puncte2

SignalGazde failed to score: 2/5

Oaspeți-context · form sequence

Arda Kardzhali

1.00pts / match
Jucate5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Puncte5

SignalOaspeți matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
27%
Câștig probability excluding draw
46%
2
Points from supplied form
5
1.03
Expected goals
1.29
Dunav RuseArda Kardzhali
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Dunav Ruse signalGazde failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Arda Kardzhali signalOaspeți matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk54% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Egal probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

Dunav Ruse vs Arda Kardzhali FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victorie oaspeți · Projected score 1–1 · 46% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Dunav Ruse câștig 27%,Egal 27%,Arda Kardzhali câștig 46%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.32 · Peste 2.5 41% · Current selection Sub