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BGR България - Първа Лига · Final ·

Дунав Русе vs Арда Кърджали

Prediction review

Домакин form
Final score0–2Прогноза 1–1
Гост form
Победа за домакина27%
Равен27%
Победа за госта46%
Market-based forecastПобеда за гостаTier B · 46% selection probability
Prediction Познат
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда за госта46% selection probability
Projected score1–1Дунав РусеАрда Кърджали
Expected goals2.32Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Под59% for the selected side
И двата отбора да отбележатНе53% for the selected side
Expected corners8.7Под 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketИзборВероятностСправедлив коефициент
27% / 27% / 46%Резултат от мачаПобеда за госта46%2.17
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Дунав Русе win (26.8%)Двоен шансX273.2%1.37
Над 41% · Под 59%Goals 2.5Под59%1.69
Да 47% · Не 53%И двата отбора да отбележатНе53%1.89
2.32 total expected goalsТочен резултат1–1
8.7 expected match cornersКорнериПод 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin6.9%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimНяма
OutcomeПрогнозаСправедлив коефициентReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Дунав Русе win27%3.703.7025.3%
Равен27%3.703.5026.7%
Арда Кърджали win46%2.171.9548%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Дунав Русе1.03

Домакин share of expected goals 44.4%

Total expected goals2.32Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Над 41% · Под 59%

Арда Кърджали1.29

Гост share of expected goals 55.6%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitДа 47% · Не 53%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Домакин-context · form sequence

Дунав Русе

0.40pts / match
Изиграни5Wins0Drawn2Losses3Точки2

SignalДомакин failed to score: 2/5

Гост-context · form sequence

Арда Кърджали

1.00pts / match
Изиграни5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Точки5

SignalГост matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
27%
Печеливш probability excluding draw
46%
2
Points from supplied form
5
1.03
Expected goals
1.29
Дунав РусеАрда Кърджали
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Дунав Русе signalДомакин failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Арда Кърджали signalГост matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk54% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Равен probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

Дунав Русе vs Арда Кърджали FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа за госта · Projected score 1–1 · 46% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Дунав Русе печеливш 27%,Равен 27%,Арда Кърджали печеливш 46%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.32 · Над 2.5 41% · Current selection Под