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BGR Болгария - Первая лига · Final ·

Дунав Русе vs Арда Кырджали

Prediction review

Хозяева form
Final score0–2Прогноз 1–1
Гости form
Победа хозяев27%
Ничья27%
Победа гостей46%
Market-based forecastПобеда гостейTier B · 46% selection probability
Prediction Угадано
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда гостей46% selection probability
Projected score1–1Дунав РусеАрда Кырджали
Expected goals2.32Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Меньше59% for the selected side
Обе забьютНет53% for the selected side
Expected corners8.7Меньше 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketВыборВероятностьСправедливый коэффициент
27% / 27% / 46%Исход матчаПобеда гостей46%2.17
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Дунав Русе win (26.8%)Двойной шансX273.2%1.37
Больше 41% · Меньше 59%Goals 2.5Меньше59%1.69
Да 47% · Нет 53%Обе забьютНет53%1.89
2.32 total expected goalsТочный счёт1–1
8.7 expected match cornersУгловыеМеньше 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin6.9%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimНет
OutcomeПрогнозСправедливый коэффициентReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Дунав Русе win27%3.703.7025.3%
Ничья27%3.703.5026.7%
Арда Кырджали win46%2.171.9548%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Дунав Русе1.03

Хозяева share of expected goals 44.4%

Total expected goals2.32Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Больше 41% · Меньше 59%

Арда Кырджали1.29

Гости share of expected goals 55.6%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitДа 47% · Нет 53%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Хозяева-context · form sequence

Дунав Русе

0.40pts / match
Сыграно5Wins0Drawn2Losses3Баллы2

SignalХозяева failed to score: 2/5

Гости-context · form sequence

Арда Кырджали

1.00pts / match
Сыграно5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Баллы5

SignalГости matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
27%
Выигрыш probability excluding draw
46%
2
Points from supplied form
5
1.03
Expected goals
1.29
Дунав РусеАрда Кырджали
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Дунав Русе signalХозяева failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Арда Кырджали signalГости matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk54% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ничья probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

Дунав Русе vs Арда Кырджали FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа гостей · Projected score 1–1 · 46% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Дунав Русе выигрыш 27%,Ничья 27%,Арда Кырджали выигрыш 46%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.32 · ТБ 2.5 41% · Current selection Меньше