Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
13% / 19% / 69%Match resultAway win69%1.45
Derived from 1X2 · excludes St George Saints win (12.6%)Double chanceX287.4%1.14
Over 74% · Under 26%Goals 2.5Over74%1.35
Yes 53% · No 47%Both teams scoreYes53%1.89
3.86 total expected goalsCorrect score1–3——
9.1 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5——
Probability view
Forecast probabilities and fair odds
No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.
OutcomeForecast probabilityFair odds
St George Saints win13%7.69
Draw19%5.26
Apia L Tigers win69%1.45
Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Home share of expected goals 21.2%
Total expected goals3.86Open
Dedicated goals model: Over 74% · Under 26%
Away share of expected goals 78.8%
Projected score1–3BTTS splitYes 53% · No 47%Match profileOpen
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Home-context · form sequence
0.20pts / matchSt George Saints
LDLLL
Played5Wins0Drawn1Losses4Points1
SignalHome matches over 2.5: 4/5
Away-context · form sequence
3.00pts / matchApia L Tigers
WWWWW
Played5Wins5Drawn0Losses0Points15
SignalAway unbeaten 5/5
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
13%
Win probability excluding draw
69%1
Points from supplied form
150.82
Expected goals
3.04St George SaintsApia L Tigers
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 19%.
Match questions
St George Saints vs Apia L Tigers FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Away win · Projected score 1–3 · 69% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
St George Saints win 13%，Draw 19%，Apia L Tigers win 69%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 3.86 · Over 2.5 74% · Current selection Over。