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AUS Australia New South Wales Premier League · Fixture ·

University NSW vs Sydney Olympic

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score2–13.47 expected goals
Away form
Home win48%
Draw25%
Away win27%
Full model forecastHome winTier A · 48% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win48% selection probability
Projected score2–1University NSWSydney Olympic
Expected goals3.47Open match profile
Goals 2.5Over68% for the selected side
Both teams scoreYes64% for the selected side
Expected corners9.6Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
48% / 25% / 27%Match resultHome win48%2.08
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (25.1%)Double chance1274.9%1.34
Over 68% · Under 32%Goals 2.5Over68%1.47
Yes 64% · No 36%Both teams scoreYes64%1.56
3.47 total expected goalsCorrect score2–1
9.6 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin12.0%Largest probability gapUniversity NSW winDifference+1.0 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
University NSW win48%2.081.9047%+1.0 pp
Draw25%4.003.5025.5%-0.5 pp
Sydney Olympic win27%3.703.2527.5%-0.5 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

University NSW2.23

Home share of expected goals 64.3%

Total expected goals3.47Open

Dedicated goals model: Over 68% · Under 32%

Sydney Olympic1.24

Away share of expected goals 35.7%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitYes 64% · No 36%Match profileOpen
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

University NSW

1.80pts / match
Played5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Points9

SignalHome won 3/5

Away-context · form sequence

Sydney Olympic

0.80pts / match
Played5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Points4

SignalHome matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
48%
Win probability excluding draw
27%
9
Points from supplied form
4
2.23
Expected goals
1.24
University NSWSydney Olympic
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01University NSW signalHome won 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Sydney Olympic signalHome matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk52% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

University NSW vs Sydney Olympic FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 2–1 · 48% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

University NSW win 48%,Draw 25%,Sydney Olympic win 27%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.47 · Over 2.5 68% · Current selection Over