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AUS Australia New South Wales Premier League · Fixture ·

Manly Utd vs Marconi Stallions

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score1–12.11 expected goals
Away form
Home win22%
Draw26%
Away win53%
Full model forecastAway winTier A · 53% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callAway win53% selection probability
Projected score1–1Manly UtdMarconi Stallions
Expected goals2.11Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Under65% for the selected side
Both teams scoreNo62% for the selected side
Expected corners9.3Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
22% / 26% / 53%Match resultAway win53%1.89
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Manly Utd win (21.8%)Double chanceX278.2%1.28
Over 35% · Under 65%Goals 2.5Under65%1.54
Yes 38% · No 62%Both teams scoreNo62%1.61
2.11 total expected goalsCorrect score1–1
9.3 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin12.4%Largest probability gapMarconi Stallions winDifference+0.7 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Manly Utd win22%4.554.0022.2%-0.2 pp
Draw26%3.853.5025.4%+0.6 pp
Marconi Stallions win53%1.891.7052.3%+0.7 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Manly Utd0.67

Home share of expected goals 31.8%

Total expected goals2.11Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Over 35% · Under 65%

Marconi Stallions1.44

Away share of expected goals 68.2%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitYes 38% · No 62%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Manly Utd

2.20pts / match
Played5Wins3Drawn2Losses0Points11

SignalHome unbeaten 5/5

Away-context · form sequence

Marconi Stallions

1.20pts / match
Played5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Points6

SignalHome clean sheets: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
22%
Win probability excluding draw
53%
11
Points from supplied form
6
0.67
Expected goals
1.44
Manly UtdMarconi Stallions
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Manly Utd signalHome unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Marconi Stallions signalHome clean sheets: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk47% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

Manly Utd vs Marconi Stallions FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Away win · Projected score 1–1 · 53% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Manly Utd win 22%,Draw 26%,Marconi Stallions win 53%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.11 · Over 2.5 35% · Current selection Under