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AUS Australia New South Wales Premier League · Fixture ·

Sutherland Sharks vs Sydney FC NPL

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score2–12.91 expected goals
Away form
Home win49%
Draw24%
Away win27%
Full model forecastHome winTier A · 49% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win49% selection probability
Projected score2–1Sutherland SharksSydney FC NPL
Expected goals2.91Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Over56% for the selected side
Both teams scoreYes57% for the selected side
Expected corners10.5Over 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
49% / 24% / 27%Match resultHome win49%2.04
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (24.2%)Double chance1275.8%1.32
Over 56% · Under 44%Goals 2.5Over56%1.79
Yes 57% · No 43%Both teams scoreYes57%1.75
2.91 total expected goalsCorrect score2–1
10.5 expected match cornersCornersOver 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin12.0%Largest probability gapSutherland Sharks winDifference+0.2 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Sutherland Sharks win49%2.041.8348.8%+0.2 pp
Draw24%4.173.7024.1%-0.1 pp
Sydney FC NPL win27%3.703.3027.1%-0.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Sutherland Sharks1.77

Home share of expected goals 60.8%

Total expected goals2.91Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Over 56% · Under 44%

Sydney FC NPL1.14

Away share of expected goals 39.2%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitYes 57% · No 43%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Sutherland Sharks

2.00pts / match
Played5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Points10

SignalHome unbeaten 4/5

Away-context · form sequence

Sydney FC NPL

0.40pts / match
Played5Wins0Drawn2Losses3Points2

SignalHome matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
49%
Win probability excluding draw
27%
10
Points from supplied form
2
1.77
Expected goals
1.14
Sutherland SharksSydney FC NPL
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Sutherland Sharks signalHome unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Sydney FC NPL signalHome matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk51% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 24%.

Match questions

Sutherland Sharks vs Sydney FC NPL FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 2–1 · 49% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Sutherland Sharks win 49%,Draw 24%,Sydney FC NPL win 27%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.91 · Over 2.5 56% · Current selection Over