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AUS Australia - New South Wales Premier League · Partita ·

Sutherland Sharks vs Sydney FC NPL

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Casa form
Projected score2–12.91 expected goals
Trasferta form
Vittoria casa49%
Pareggio24%
Vittoria ospite27%
Full model forecastVittoria casaTier A · 49% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVittoria casa49% selection probability
Projected score2–1Sutherland SharksSydney FC NPL
Expected goals2.91Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Sopra56% for the selected side
Entrambe le squadre segnano57% for the selected side
Expected corners10.5Sopra 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelezioneProbabilitàQuote eque
49% / 24% / 27%Esito partitaVittoria casa49%2.04
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (24.2%)Doppia Chance1275.8%1.32
Sopra 56% · Sotto 44%Goals 2.5Sopra56%1.79
Sì 57% · No 43%Entrambe le squadre segnano57%1.75
2.91 total expected goalsRisultato esatto2–1
10.5 expected match cornersCornerSopra 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin12.0%Largest probability gapSutherland Sharks winDifference+0.2 pp
OutcomePronosticoQuote equeReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Sutherland Sharks win49%2.041.8348.8%+0.2 pp
Pareggio24%4.173.7024.1%-0.1 pp
Sydney FC NPL win27%3.703.3027.1%-0.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Sutherland Sharks1.77

Casa share of expected goals 60.8%

Total expected goals2.91Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Sopra 56% · Sotto 44%

Sydney FC NPL1.14

Trasferta share of expected goals 39.2%

Projected score2–1BTTS split 57% · No 43%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Casa-context · form sequence

Sutherland Sharks

2.00pts / match
Giocate5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Punti10

SignalCasa unbeaten 4/5

Trasferta-context · form sequence

Sydney FC NPL

0.40pts / match
Giocate5Wins0Drawn2Losses3Punti2

SignalCasa matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
49%
Vinta probability excluding draw
27%
10
Points from supplied form
2
1.77
Expected goals
1.14
Sutherland SharksSydney FC NPL
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Sutherland Sharks signalCasa unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Sydney FC NPL signalCasa matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk51% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Pareggio probability alone is 24%.

Match questions

Sutherland Sharks vs Sydney FC NPL FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vittoria casa · Projected score 2–1 · 49% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Sutherland Sharks vinta 49%,Pareggio 24%,Sydney FC NPL vinta 27%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.91 · Sopra 2.5 56% · Current selection Sopra