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AUS Australia - New South Wales Premier League · Partita ·

St George Saints vs Apia L Tigers

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Casa form
Projected score1–33.86 expected goals
Trasferta form
Vittoria casa15%
Pareggio18%
Vittoria ospite67%
Full model forecastVittoria ospiteTier A · 67% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVittoria ospite67% selection probability
Projected score1–3St George SaintsApia L Tigers
Expected goals3.86Apertura match profile
Goals 2.5Sopra74% for the selected side
Entrambe le squadre segnano53% for the selected side
Expected corners9.1Sotto 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelezioneProbabilitàQuote eque
15% / 18% / 67%Esito partitaVittoria ospite67%1.49
Derived from 1X2 · excludes St George Saints win (14.7%)Doppia ChanceX285.3%1.17
Sopra 74% · Sotto 26%Goals 2.5Sopra74%1.35
Sì 53% · No 47%Entrambe le squadre segnano53%1.89
3.86 total expected goalsRisultato esatto1–3
9.1 expected match cornersCornerSotto 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin10.9%Largest probability gapApia L Tigers winDifference+1.7 pp
OutcomePronosticoQuote equeReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
St George Saints win15%6.675.7515.7%-0.7 pp
Pareggio18%5.564.7519%-1.0 pp
Apia L Tigers win67%1.491.3865.3%+1.7 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

St George Saints0.82

Casa share of expected goals 21.2%

Total expected goals3.86Apertura

Dedicated goals model: Sopra 74% · Sotto 26%

Apia L Tigers3.04

Trasferta share of expected goals 78.8%

Projected score1–3BTTS split 53% · No 47%Match profileApertura
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Casa-context · form sequence

St George Saints

0.20pts / match
Giocate5Wins0Drawn1Losses4Punti1

SignalCasa matches over 2.5: 4/5

Trasferta-context · form sequence

Apia L Tigers

3.00pts / match
Giocate5Wins5Drawn0Losses0Punti15

SignalTrasferta unbeaten 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
15%
Vinta probability excluding draw
67%
1
Points from supplied form
15
0.82
Expected goals
3.04
St George SaintsApia L Tigers
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01St George Saints signalCasa matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Apia L Tigers signalTrasferta unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk33% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Pareggio probability alone is 18%.

Match questions

St George Saints vs Apia L Tigers FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vittoria ospite · Projected score 1–3 · 67% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

St George Saints vinta 15%,Pareggio 18%,Apia L Tigers vinta 67%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.86 · Sopra 2.5 74% · Current selection Sopra