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AUS Austrália - Nova Gales do Sul - Premier League · Partida ·

St George Saints vs Apia L Tigers

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Mandante form
Projected score1–33.86 expected goals
Visitante form
Vitória da casa15%
Empate18%
Vitória visitante67%
Full model forecastVitória visitanteTier A · 67% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVitória visitante67% selection probability
Projected score1–3St George SaintsApia L Tigers
Expected goals3.86Abrir match profile
Goals 2.5Acima74% for the selected side
Ambas as equipes marcamSim53% for the selected side
Expected corners9.1Abaixo 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSeleçãoProbabilidadeOdds justas
15% / 18% / 67%Resultado da partidaVitória visitante67%1.49
Derived from 1X2 · excludes St George Saints win (14.7%)Dupla ChanceX285.3%1.17
Acima 74% · Abaixo 26%Goals 2.5Acima74%1.35
Sim 53% · Não 47%Ambas as equipes marcamSim53%1.89
3.86 total expected goalsPlacar exato1–3
9.1 expected match cornersEscanteiosAbaixo 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin10.9%Largest probability gapApia L Tigers winDifference+1.7 pp
OutcomePrevisãoOdds justasReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
St George Saints win15%6.675.7515.7%-0.7 pp
Empate18%5.564.7519%-1.0 pp
Apia L Tigers win67%1.491.3865.3%+1.7 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

St George Saints0.82

Mandante share of expected goals 21.2%

Total expected goals3.86Abrir

Dedicated goals model: Acima 74% · Abaixo 26%

Apia L Tigers3.04

Visitante share of expected goals 78.8%

Projected score1–3BTTS splitSim 53% · Não 47%Match profileAbrir
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Mandante-context · form sequence

St George Saints

0.20pts / match
Jogos5Wins0Drawn1Losses4Pontos1

SignalMandante matches over 2.5: 4/5

Visitante-context · form sequence

Apia L Tigers

3.00pts / match
Jogos5Wins5Drawn0Losses0Pontos15

SignalVisitante unbeaten 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
15%
Ganhou probability excluding draw
67%
1
Points from supplied form
15
0.82
Expected goals
3.04
St George SaintsApia L Tigers
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01St George Saints signalMandante matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Apia L Tigers signalVisitante unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk33% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Empate probability alone is 18%.

Match questions

St George Saints vs Apia L Tigers FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vitória visitante · Projected score 1–3 · 67% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

St George Saints ganhou 15%,Empate 18%,Apia L Tigers ganhou 67%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.86 · Acima 2.5 74% · Current selection Acima