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AUS Australia - New South Wales - Premier League · Meci ·

St George Saints vs Apia L Tigers

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Gazde form
Projected score1–33.86 expected goals
Oaspeți form
Victorie gazde15%
Egal18%
Victorie oaspeți67%
Full model forecastVictorie oaspețiTier A · 67% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictorie oaspeți67% selection probability
Projected score1–3St George SaintsApia L Tigers
Expected goals3.86Deschide match profile
Goals 2.5Peste74% for the selected side
Ambele echipe marcheazăDa53% for the selected side
Expected corners9.1Sub 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecțieProbabilitateCotă corectă
15% / 18% / 67%Rezultatul meciuluiVictorie oaspeți67%1.49
Derived from 1X2 · excludes St George Saints win (14.7%)Șansă dublăX285.3%1.17
Peste 74% · Sub 26%Goals 2.5Peste74%1.35
Da 53% · Nu 47%Ambele echipe marcheazăDa53%1.89
3.86 total expected goalsScor corect1–3
9.1 expected match cornersCornereSub 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin10.9%Largest probability gapApia L Tigers winDifference+1.7 pp
OutcomePredicțieCotă corectăReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
St George Saints win15%6.675.7515.7%-0.7 pp
Egal18%5.564.7519%-1.0 pp
Apia L Tigers win67%1.491.3865.3%+1.7 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

St George Saints0.82

Gazde share of expected goals 21.2%

Total expected goals3.86Deschide

Dedicated goals model: Peste 74% · Sub 26%

Apia L Tigers3.04

Oaspeți share of expected goals 78.8%

Projected score1–3BTTS splitDa 53% · Nu 47%Match profileDeschide
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Gazde-context · form sequence

St George Saints

0.20pts / match
Jucate5Wins0Drawn1Losses4Puncte1

SignalGazde matches over 2.5: 4/5

Oaspeți-context · form sequence

Apia L Tigers

3.00pts / match
Jucate5Wins5Drawn0Losses0Puncte15

SignalOaspeți unbeaten 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
15%
Câștig probability excluding draw
67%
1
Points from supplied form
15
0.82
Expected goals
3.04
St George SaintsApia L Tigers
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01St George Saints signalGazde matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Apia L Tigers signalOaspeți unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk33% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Egal probability alone is 18%.

Match questions

St George Saints vs Apia L Tigers FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victorie oaspeți · Projected score 1–3 · 67% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

St George Saints câștig 15%,Egal 18%,Apia L Tigers câștig 67%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.86 · Peste 2.5 74% · Current selection Peste