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AUS Австралия - Нов Южен Уелс - Висша Лига · Мач ·

Ст. Джордж Сейнтс vs Апиа Тайгърс

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Домакин form
Projected score1–33.86 expected goals
Гост form
Победа за домакина15%
Равен18%
Победа за госта67%
Full model forecastПобеда за гостаTier A · 67% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда за госта67% selection probability
Projected score1–3Ст. Джордж СейнтсАпиа Тайгърс
Expected goals3.86Откриване match profile
Goals 2.5Над74% for the selected side
И двата отбора да отбележатДа53% for the selected side
Expected corners9.1Под 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketИзборВероятностСправедлив коефициент
15% / 18% / 67%Резултат от мачаПобеда за госта67%1.49
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Ст. Джордж Сейнтс win (14.7%)Двоен шансX285.3%1.17
Над 74% · Под 26%Goals 2.5Над74%1.35
Да 53% · Не 47%И двата отбора да отбележатДа53%1.89
3.86 total expected goalsТочен резултат1–3
9.1 expected match cornersКорнериПод 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin10.9%Largest probability gapАпиа Тайгърс winDifference+1.7 pp
OutcomeПрогнозаСправедлив коефициентReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Ст. Джордж Сейнтс win15%6.675.7515.7%-0.7 pp
Равен18%5.564.7519%-1.0 pp
Апиа Тайгърс win67%1.491.3865.3%+1.7 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Ст. Джордж Сейнтс0.82

Домакин share of expected goals 21.2%

Total expected goals3.86Откриване

Dedicated goals model: Над 74% · Под 26%

Апиа Тайгърс3.04

Гост share of expected goals 78.8%

Projected score1–3BTTS splitДа 53% · Не 47%Match profileОткриване
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Домакин-context · form sequence

Ст. Джордж Сейнтс

0.20pts / match
Изиграни5Wins0Drawn1Losses4Точки1

SignalДомакин matches over 2.5: 4/5

Гост-context · form sequence

Апиа Тайгърс

3.00pts / match
Изиграни5Wins5Drawn0Losses0Точки15

SignalГост unbeaten 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
15%
Печеливш probability excluding draw
67%
1
Points from supplied form
15
0.82
Expected goals
3.04
Ст. Джордж СейнтсАпиа Тайгърс
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Ст. Джордж Сейнтс signalДомакин matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Апиа Тайгърс signalГост unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk33% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Равен probability alone is 18%.

Match questions

Ст. Джордж Сейнтс vs Апиа Тайгърс FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа за госта · Projected score 1–3 · 67% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Ст. Джордж Сейнтс печеливш 15%,Равен 18%,Апиа Тайгърс печеливш 67%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.86 · Над 2.5 74% · Current selection Над