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AUS Australia New South Wales Premier League · Fixture ·

SD Raiders vs Western Sydney Wanderers NPL

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score2–23.99 expected goals
Away form
Home win41%
Draw25%
Away win34%
Full model forecastHome winTier A · 41% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win41% selection probability
Projected score2–2SD RaidersWestern Sydney Wanderers NPL
Expected goals3.99Open match profile
Goals 2.5Over76% for the selected side
Both teams scoreYes73% for the selected side
Expected corners8.9Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
41% / 25% / 34%Match resultHome win41%2.44
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (24.6%)Double chance1275.4%1.33
Over 76% · Under 24%Goals 2.5Over76%1.32
Yes 73% · No 27%Both teams scoreYes73%1.37
3.99 total expected goalsCorrect score2–2
8.9 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.8%Largest probability gapSD Raiders winDifference-1.6 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
SD Raiders win41%2.442.1042.6%-1.6 pp
Draw25%4.003.6024.9%+0.1 pp
Western Sydney Wanderers NPL win34%2.942.7532.5%+1.5 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

SD Raiders1.66

Home share of expected goals 41.6%

Total expected goals3.99Open

Dedicated goals model: Over 76% · Under 24%

Western Sydney Wanderers NPL2.33

Away share of expected goals 58.4%

Projected score2–2BTTS splitYes 73% · No 27%Match profileOpen
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

SD Raiders

2.40pts / match
Played5Wins4Drawn0Losses1Points12

SignalHome unbeaten 4/5

Away-context · form sequence

Western Sydney Wanderers NPL

1.80pts / match
Played5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Points9

SignalHome matches over 2.5: 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
41%
Win probability excluding draw
34%
12
Points from supplied form
9
1.66
Expected goals
2.33
SD RaidersWestern Sydney Wanderers NPL
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01SD Raiders signalHome unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Western Sydney Wanderers NPL signalHome matches over 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk59% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

SD Raiders vs Western Sydney Wanderers NPL FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 2–2 · 41% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

SD Raiders win 41%,Draw 25%,Western Sydney Wanderers NPL win 34%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.99 · Over 2.5 76% · Current selection Over