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AUS Australië - New South Wales - Premier League · Wedstrijd ·

St George Saints vs Apia L Tigers

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Thuis form
Projected score1–33.86 expected goals
Uit form
Thuiswinst15%
Gelijkspel18%
Uitwinst67%
Full model forecastUitwinstTier A · 67% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callUitwinst67% selection probability
Projected score1–3St George SaintsApia L Tigers
Expected goals3.86Openen match profile
Goals 2.5Boven74% for the selected side
Beide teams scorenJa53% for the selected side
Expected corners9.1Onder 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectieWaarschijnlijkheidEerlijke odds
15% / 18% / 67%WedstrijdresultaatUitwinst67%1.49
Derived from 1X2 · excludes St George Saints win (14.7%)Dubbele KansX285.3%1.17
Boven 74% · Onder 26%Goals 2.5Boven74%1.35
Ja 53% · Nee 47%Beide teams scorenJa53%1.89
3.86 total expected goalsExacte score1–3
9.1 expected match cornersHoekschoppenOnder 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin10.9%Largest probability gapApia L Tigers winDifference+1.7 pp
OutcomeVoorspellingEerlijke oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
St George Saints win15%6.675.7515.7%-0.7 pp
Gelijkspel18%5.564.7519%-1.0 pp
Apia L Tigers win67%1.491.3865.3%+1.7 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

St George Saints0.82

Thuis share of expected goals 21.2%

Total expected goals3.86Openen

Dedicated goals model: Boven 74% · Onder 26%

Apia L Tigers3.04

Uit share of expected goals 78.8%

Projected score1–3BTTS splitJa 53% · Nee 47%Match profileOpenen
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Thuis-context · form sequence

St George Saints

0.20pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins0Drawn1Losses4Punten1

SignalThuis matches over 2.5: 4/5

Uit-context · form sequence

Apia L Tigers

3.00pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins5Drawn0Losses0Punten15

SignalUit unbeaten 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
15%
Gewonnen probability excluding draw
67%
1
Points from supplied form
15
0.82
Expected goals
3.04
St George SaintsApia L Tigers
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01St George Saints signalThuis matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Apia L Tigers signalUit unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk33% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Gelijkspel probability alone is 18%.

Match questions

St George Saints vs Apia L Tigers FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Uitwinst · Projected score 1–3 · 67% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

St George Saints gewonnen 15%,Gelijkspel 18%,Apia L Tigers gewonnen 67%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.86 · Boven 2.5 74% · Current selection Boven