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AUS Australia - New South Wales - Premier League · Mecz ·

St George Saints vs Apia L Tigers

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Gospodarze form
Projected score1–33.86 expected goals
Goście form
Wygrana gospodarzy15%
Remis18%
Wygrana gości67%
Full model forecastWygrana gościTier A · 67% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callWygrana gości67% selection probability
Projected score1–3St George SaintsApia L Tigers
Expected goals3.86Otwarcie match profile
Goals 2.5Powyżej74% for the selected side
Obie drużyny strzeląTak53% for the selected side
Expected corners9.1Poniżej 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketWybórPrawdopodobieństwoUczciwy kurs
15% / 18% / 67%Wynik meczuWygrana gości67%1.49
Derived from 1X2 · excludes St George Saints win (14.7%)Podwójna szansaX285.3%1.17
Powyżej 74% · Poniżej 26%Goals 2.5Powyżej74%1.35
Tak 53% · Nie 47%Obie drużyny strzeląTak53%1.89
3.86 total expected goalsDokładny wynik1–3
9.1 expected match cornersRożnePoniżej 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin10.9%Largest probability gapApia L Tigers winDifference+1.7 pp
OutcomePrognozaUczciwy kursReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
St George Saints win15%6.675.7515.7%-0.7 pp
Remis18%5.564.7519%-1.0 pp
Apia L Tigers win67%1.491.3865.3%+1.7 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

St George Saints0.82

Gospodarze share of expected goals 21.2%

Total expected goals3.86Otwarcie

Dedicated goals model: Powyżej 74% · Poniżej 26%

Apia L Tigers3.04

Goście share of expected goals 78.8%

Projected score1–3BTTS splitTak 53% · Nie 47%Match profileOtwarcie
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Gospodarze-context · form sequence

St George Saints

0.20pts / match
Rozegrane5Wins0Drawn1Losses4Punkty1

SignalGospodarze matches over 2.5: 4/5

Goście-context · form sequence

Apia L Tigers

3.00pts / match
Rozegrane5Wins5Drawn0Losses0Punkty15

SignalGoście unbeaten 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
15%
Wygrana probability excluding draw
67%
1
Points from supplied form
15
0.82
Expected goals
3.04
St George SaintsApia L Tigers
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01St George Saints signalGospodarze matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Apia L Tigers signalGoście unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk33% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Remis probability alone is 18%.

Match questions

St George Saints vs Apia L Tigers FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Wygrana gości · Projected score 1–3 · 67% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

St George Saints wygrana 15%,Remis 18%,Apia L Tigers wygrana 67%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.86 · Powyżej 2.5 74% · Current selection Powyżej