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AUS Australia New South Wales Premier League · Kamp ·

St George Saints vs Apia L Tigers

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hjemme form
Projected score1–33.86 expected goals
Borte form
Hjemmeseier13%
Uavgjort19%
Borteseier69%
Full model forecastBorteseierTier A · 69% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callBorteseier69% selection probability
Projected score1–3St George SaintsApia L Tigers
Expected goals3.86Åpning match profile
Goals 2.5Over74% for the selected side
Begge lag scorerJa53% for the selected side
Expected corners9.1Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValgSannsynlighetRettferdig odds
13% / 19% / 69%KampresultatBorteseier69%1.45
Derived from 1X2 · excludes St George Saints win (12.6%)Dobbel sjanseX287.4%1.14
Over 74% · Under 26%Goals 2.5Over74%1.35
Ja 53% · Nei 47%Begge lag scorerJa53%1.89
3.86 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat1–3
9.1 expected match cornersHjørnesparkUnder 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nei snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityRettferdig odds
St George Saints win13%7.69
Uavgjort19%5.26
Apia L Tigers win69%1.45

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

St George Saints0.82

Hjemme share of expected goals 21.2%

Total expected goals3.86Åpning

Dedicated goals model: Over 74% · Under 26%

Apia L Tigers3.04

Borte share of expected goals 78.8%

Projected score1–3BTTS splitJa 53% · Nei 47%Match profileÅpning
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hjemme-context · form sequence

St George Saints

0.20pts / match
Spilt5Wins0Drawn1Losses4Poeng1

SignalHjemme matches over 2.5: 4/5

Borte-context · form sequence

Apia L Tigers

3.00pts / match
Spilt5Wins5Drawn0Losses0Poeng15

SignalBorte unbeaten 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
13%
Vunnet probability excluding draw
69%
1
Points from supplied form
15
0.82
Expected goals
3.04
St George SaintsApia L Tigers
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01St George Saints signalHjemme matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Apia L Tigers signalBorte unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk31% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Uavgjort probability alone is 19%.

Match questions

St George Saints vs Apia L Tigers FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Borteseier · Projected score 1–3 · 69% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

St George Saints vunnet 13%,Uavgjort 19%,Apia L Tigers vunnet 69%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.86 · Over 2.5 74% · Current selection Over