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ARG Argentina Liga Profesional · Match ·

Atlético Tucumán vs Sarmiento

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Domicile form
Projected score1–12.42 expected goals
Extérieur form
Victoire à domicile50%
Nul29%
Victoire à l’extérieur20%
Full model forecastVictoire à domicileTier A · 50% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoire à domicile50% selection probability
Projected score1–1Atlético TucumánSarmiento
Expected goals2.42Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Moins de57% for the selected side
Les deux équipes marquentNon52% for the selected side
Expected corners8.5Moins de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSélectionProbabilitéCote juste
50% / 29% / 20%Résultat du matchVictoire à domicile50%2.00
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Sarmiento win (20.3%)Double chance1X79.7%1.25
Plus de 43% · Moins de 57%Goals 2.5Moins de57%1.75
Oui 48% · Non 52%Les deux équipes marquentNon52%1.92
2.42 total expected goalsScore exact1–1
8.5 expected match cornersCornersMoins de 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin6.4%Largest probability gapAtlético Tucumán winDifference-0.8 pp
OutcomePronosticCote justeReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Atlético Tucumán win50%2.001.8550.8%-0.8 pp
Nul29%3.453.2029.4%-0.4 pp
Sarmiento win20%5.004.7519.8%+0.2 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Atlético Tucumán1.41

Domicile share of expected goals 58.3%

Total expected goals2.42Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Plus de 43% · Moins de 57%

Sarmiento1.01

Extérieur share of expected goals 41.7%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitOui 48% · Non 52%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domicile-context · form sequence

Atlético Tucumán

2.20pts / match
Joués5Wins3Drawn2Losses0Points11

SignalDomicile unbeaten 5/5

Extérieur-context · form sequence

Sarmiento

0.60pts / match
Joués5Wins1Drawn0Losses4Points3

SignalDomicile matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
50%
Gagné probability excluding draw
20%
11
Points from supplied form
3
1.41
Expected goals
1.01
Atlético TucumánSarmiento
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Atlético Tucumán signalDomicile unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Sarmiento signalDomicile matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk50% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Nul probability alone is 29%.

Match questions

Atlético Tucumán vs Sarmiento FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoire à domicile · Projected score 1–1 · 50% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Atlético Tucumán victoire 50%,Nul 29%,Sarmiento victoire 20%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.42 · Plus de 2.5 43% · Current selection Moins de