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ARG Argentina Liga Profesional · Zápas ·

Atlético Tucumán vs Sarmiento

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Domáci form
Projected score1–12.42 expected goals
Hostia form
Výhra domácich50%
Remíza29%
Výhra hostí20%
Full model forecastVýhra domácichTier A · 50% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVýhra domácich50% selection probability
Projected score1–1Atlético TucumánSarmiento
Expected goals2.42Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Menej57% for the selected side
Oba tímy skórujúNie52% for the selected side
Expected corners8.5Menej 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketVýberPravdepodobnosťFérový kurz
50% / 29% / 20%Výsledok zápasuVýhra domácich50%2.00
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Sarmiento win (20.3%)Dvojitá šanca1X79.7%1.25
Viac 43% · Menej 57%Goals 2.5Menej57%1.75
Áno 48% · Nie 52%Oba tímy skórujúNie52%1.92
2.42 total expected goalsPresné skóre1–1
8.5 expected match cornersRohyMenej 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin6.4%Largest probability gapAtlético Tucumán winDifference-0.8 pp
OutcomePredpoveďFérový kurzReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Atlético Tucumán win50%2.001.8550.8%-0.8 pp
Remíza29%3.453.2029.4%-0.4 pp
Sarmiento win20%5.004.7519.8%+0.2 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Atlético Tucumán1.41

Domáci share of expected goals 58.3%

Total expected goals2.42Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Viac 43% · Menej 57%

Sarmiento1.01

Hostia share of expected goals 41.7%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitÁno 48% · Nie 52%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domáci-context · form sequence

Atlético Tucumán

2.20pts / match
Odohrané5Wins3Drawn2Losses0Body11

SignalDomáci unbeaten 5/5

Hostia-context · form sequence

Sarmiento

0.60pts / match
Odohrané5Wins1Drawn0Losses4Body3

SignalDomáci matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
50%
Výhra probability excluding draw
20%
11
Points from supplied form
3
1.41
Expected goals
1.01
Atlético TucumánSarmiento
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Atlético Tucumán signalDomáci unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Sarmiento signalDomáci matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk50% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Remíza probability alone is 29%.

Match questions

Atlético Tucumán vs Sarmiento FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Výhra domácich · Projected score 1–1 · 50% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Atlético Tucumán výhra 50%,Remíza 29%,Sarmiento výhra 20%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.42 · Viac 2.5 43% · Current selection Menej