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ARG Argentina Liga Profesional · Mérkőzés ·

Atlético Tucumán vs Sarmiento

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hazai form
Projected score1–12.42 expected goals
Vendég form
Hazai győzelem50%
Döntetlen29%
Vendég győzelem20%
Full model forecastHazai győzelemTier A · 50% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHazai győzelem50% selection probability
Projected score1–1Atlético TucumánSarmiento
Expected goals2.42Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Alatt57% for the selected side
Mindkét csapat szerez góltNem52% for the selected side
Expected corners8.5Alatt 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketVálasztásValószínűségValós odds
50% / 29% / 20%Mérkőzés eredményeHazai győzelem50%2.00
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Sarmiento win (20.3%)Dupla esély1X79.7%1.25
Felett 43% · Alatt 57%Goals 2.5Alatt57%1.75
Igen 48% · Nem 52%Mindkét csapat szerez góltNem52%1.92
2.42 total expected goalsPontos eredmény1–1
8.5 expected match cornersSzögletekAlatt 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin6.4%Largest probability gapAtlético Tucumán winDifference-0.8 pp
OutcomeElőrejelzésValós oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Atlético Tucumán win50%2.001.8550.8%-0.8 pp
Döntetlen29%3.453.2029.4%-0.4 pp
Sarmiento win20%5.004.7519.8%+0.2 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Atlético Tucumán1.41

Hazai share of expected goals 58.3%

Total expected goals2.42Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Felett 43% · Alatt 57%

Sarmiento1.01

Vendég share of expected goals 41.7%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitIgen 48% · Nem 52%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hazai-context · form sequence

Atlético Tucumán

2.20pts / match
Lejátszott5Wins3Drawn2Losses0Pontok11

SignalHazai unbeaten 5/5

Vendég-context · form sequence

Sarmiento

0.60pts / match
Lejátszott5Wins1Drawn0Losses4Pontok3

SignalHazai matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
50%
Nyert probability excluding draw
20%
11
Points from supplied form
3
1.41
Expected goals
1.01
Atlético TucumánSarmiento
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Atlético Tucumán signalHazai unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Sarmiento signalHazai matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk50% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Döntetlen probability alone is 29%.

Match questions

Atlético Tucumán vs Sarmiento FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hazai győzelem · Projected score 1–1 · 50% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Atlético Tucumán nyer 50%,Döntetlen 29%,Sarmiento nyer 20%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.42 · 2.5 felett 43% · Current selection Alatt