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ARG Argentina Liga Profesional · Матч ·

Атлетико Тукуман vs Сармьенто

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Хозяева form
Projected score1–12.42 expected goals
Гости form
Победа хозяев50%
Ничья29%
Победа гостей20%
Full model forecastПобеда хозяевTier A · 50% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда хозяев50% selection probability
Projected score1–1Атлетико ТукуманСармьенто
Expected goals2.42Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Меньше57% for the selected side
Обе забьютНет52% for the selected side
Expected corners8.5Меньше 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketВыборВероятностьСправедливый коэффициент
50% / 29% / 20%Исход матчаПобеда хозяев50%2.00
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Сармьенто win (20.3%)Двойной шанс1X79.7%1.25
Больше 43% · Меньше 57%Goals 2.5Меньше57%1.75
Да 48% · Нет 52%Обе забьютНет52%1.92
2.42 total expected goalsТочный счёт1–1
8.5 expected match cornersУгловыеМеньше 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin6.4%Largest probability gapАтлетико Тукуман winDifference-0.8 pp
OutcomeПрогнозСправедливый коэффициентReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Атлетико Тукуман win50%2.001.8550.8%-0.8 pp
Ничья29%3.453.2029.4%-0.4 pp
Сармьенто win20%5.004.7519.8%+0.2 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Атлетико Тукуман1.41

Хозяева share of expected goals 58.3%

Total expected goals2.42Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Больше 43% · Меньше 57%

Сармьенто1.01

Гости share of expected goals 41.7%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitДа 48% · Нет 52%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Хозяева-context · form sequence

Атлетико Тукуман

2.20pts / match
Сыграно5Wins3Drawn2Losses0Баллы11

SignalХозяева unbeaten 5/5

Гости-context · form sequence

Сармьенто

0.60pts / match
Сыграно5Wins1Drawn0Losses4Баллы3

SignalХозяева matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
50%
Выигрыш probability excluding draw
20%
11
Points from supplied form
3
1.41
Expected goals
1.01
Атлетико ТукуманСармьенто
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Атлетико Тукуман signalХозяева unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Сармьенто signalХозяева matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk50% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ничья probability alone is 29%.

Match questions

Атлетико Тукуман vs Сармьенто FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа хозяев · Projected score 1–1 · 50% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Атлетико Тукуман выигрыш 50%,Ничья 29%,Сармьенто выигрыш 20%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.42 · ТБ 2.5 43% · Current selection Меньше