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ARG Argentina Liga Profesional · Матч ·

Бока Хуниорс vs Велес Сарсфилд

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Хозяева form
Projected score1–12.07 expected goals
Гости form
Победа хозяев51%
Ничья29%
Победа гостей20%
Full model forecastПобеда хозяевTier A · 51% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда хозяев51% selection probability
Projected score1–1Бока ХуниорсВелес Сарсфилд
Expected goals2.07Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Меньше66% for the selected side
Обе забьютНет61% for the selected side
Expected corners8.6Меньше 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketВыборВероятностьСправедливый коэффициент
51% / 29% / 20%Исход матчаПобеда хозяев51%1.96
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Велес Сарсфилд win (19.8%)Двойной шанс1X80.2%1.25
Больше 34% · Меньше 66%Goals 2.5Меньше66%1.52
Да 39% · Нет 61%Обе забьютНет61%1.64
2.07 total expected goalsТочный счёт1–1
8.6 expected match cornersУгловыеМеньше 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin6.4%Largest probability gapDrawDifference-0.4 pp
OutcomeПрогнозСправедливый коэффициентReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Бока Хуниорс win51%1.961.8550.8%+0.2 pp
Ничья29%3.453.2029.4%-0.4 pp
Велес Сарсфилд win20%5.004.7519.8%+0.2 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Бока Хуниорс1.33

Хозяева share of expected goals 64.3%

Total expected goals2.07Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Больше 34% · Меньше 66%

Велес Сарсфилд0.74

Гости share of expected goals 35.7%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitДа 39% · Нет 61%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Хозяева-context · form sequence

Бока Хуниорс

1.40pts / match
Сыграно5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Баллы7

SignalХозяева clean sheets: 2/5

Гости-context · form sequence

Велес Сарсфилд

2.00pts / match
Сыграно5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Баллы10

SignalГости unbeaten 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
51%
Выигрыш probability excluding draw
20%
7
Points from supplied form
10
1.33
Expected goals
0.74
Бока ХуниорсВелес Сарсфилд
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Бока Хуниорс signalХозяева clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Велес Сарсфилд signalГости unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk49% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ничья probability alone is 29%.

Match questions

Бока Хуниорс vs Велес Сарсфилд FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа хозяев · Projected score 1–1 · 51% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Бока Хуниорс выигрыш 51%,Ничья 29%,Велес Сарсфилд выигрыш 20%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.07 · ТБ 2.5 34% · Current selection Меньше