MatchFormula Trouver un match
Menu
UTC+8
Fuseau horaireAsia/Shanghai
Français
ARG Argentina Liga Profesional · Match ·

Boca Juniors vs Vélez Sarsfield

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Domicile form
Projected score1–12.07 expected goals
Extérieur form
Victoire à domicile45%
Nul31%
Victoire à l’extérieur24%
Full model forecastVictoire à domicileTier A · 45% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoire à domicile45% selection probability
Projected score1–1Boca JuniorsVélez Sarsfield
Expected goals2.07Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Moins de66% for the selected side
Les deux équipes marquentNon61% for the selected side
Expected corners8.6Moins de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSélectionProbabilitéCote juste
45% / 31% / 24%Résultat du matchVictoire à domicile45%2.22
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Vélez Sarsfield win (24.1%)Double chance1X75.9%1.32
Plus de 34% · Moins de 66%Goals 2.5Moins de66%1.52
Oui 39% · Non 61%Les deux équipes marquentNon61%1.64
2.07 total expected goalsScore exact1–1
8.6 expected match cornersCornersMoins de 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Non snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityCote juste
Boca Juniors win45%2.22
Nul31%3.23
Vélez Sarsfield win24%4.17

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Boca Juniors1.33

Domicile share of expected goals 64.3%

Total expected goals2.07Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Plus de 34% · Moins de 66%

Vélez Sarsfield0.74

Extérieur share of expected goals 35.7%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitOui 39% · Non 61%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domicile-context · form sequence

Boca Juniors

1.40pts / match
Joués5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Points7

SignalDomicile clean sheets: 2/5

Extérieur-context · form sequence

Vélez Sarsfield

2.00pts / match
Joués5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Points10

SignalExtérieur unbeaten 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
45%
Gagné probability excluding draw
24%
7
Points from supplied form
10
1.33
Expected goals
0.74
Boca JuniorsVélez Sarsfield
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Boca Juniors signalDomicile clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Vélez Sarsfield signalExtérieur unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk55% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Nul probability alone is 31%.

Match questions

Boca Juniors vs Vélez Sarsfield FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoire à domicile · Projected score 1–1 · 45% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Boca Juniors victoire 45%,Nul 31%,Vélez Sarsfield victoire 24%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.07 · Plus de 2.5 34% · Current selection Moins de