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ARG Argentina Liga Profesional · Αγώνας ·

Μπόκα Τζούνιορς vs Βελέζ Σάρσφιλντ

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Γηπεδούχος form
Projected score1–12.07 expected goals
Φιλοξενούμενος form
Νίκη γηπεδούχου51%
Ισοπαλία29%
Νίκη φιλοξενούμενου20%
Full model forecastΝίκη γηπεδούχουTier A · 51% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callΝίκη γηπεδούχου51% selection probability
Projected score1–1Μπόκα ΤζούνιορςΒελέζ Σάρσφιλντ
Expected goals2.07Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Κάτω66% for the selected side
Σκοράρουν και οι δύοΌχι61% for the selected side
Expected corners8.6Κάτω 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketΕπιλογήΠιθανότηταΔίκαιη απόδοση
51% / 29% / 20%Αποτέλεσμα αγώναΝίκη γηπεδούχου51%1.96
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Βελέζ Σάρσφιλντ win (19.8%)Διπλή Ευκαιρία1X80.2%1.25
Άνω 34% · Κάτω 66%Goals 2.5Κάτω66%1.52
Ναι 39% · Όχι 61%Σκοράρουν και οι δύοΌχι61%1.64
2.07 total expected goalsΑκριβές σκορ1–1
8.6 expected match cornersΚόρνερΚάτω 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin6.4%Largest probability gapDrawDifference-0.4 pp
OutcomeΠρόβλεψηΔίκαιη απόδοσηReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Μπόκα Τζούνιορς win51%1.961.8550.8%+0.2 pp
Ισοπαλία29%3.453.2029.4%-0.4 pp
Βελέζ Σάρσφιλντ win20%5.004.7519.8%+0.2 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Μπόκα Τζούνιορς1.33

Γηπεδούχος share of expected goals 64.3%

Total expected goals2.07Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Άνω 34% · Κάτω 66%

Βελέζ Σάρσφιλντ0.74

Φιλοξενούμενος share of expected goals 35.7%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitΝαι 39% · Όχι 61%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Γηπεδούχος-context · form sequence

Μπόκα Τζούνιορς

1.40pts / match
Αγώνες5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Πόντοι7

SignalΓηπεδούχος clean sheets: 2/5

Φιλοξενούμενος-context · form sequence

Βελέζ Σάρσφιλντ

2.00pts / match
Αγώνες5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Πόντοι10

SignalΦιλοξενούμενος unbeaten 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
51%
Νίκη probability excluding draw
20%
7
Points from supplied form
10
1.33
Expected goals
0.74
Μπόκα ΤζούνιορςΒελέζ Σάρσφιλντ
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Μπόκα Τζούνιορς signalΓηπεδούχος clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Βελέζ Σάρσφιλντ signalΦιλοξενούμενος unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk49% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ισοπαλία probability alone is 29%.

Match questions

Μπόκα Τζούνιορς vs Βελέζ Σάρσφιλντ FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Νίκη γηπεδούχου · Projected score 1–1 · 51% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Μπόκα Τζούνιορς νίκη 51%,Ισοπαλία 29%,Βελέζ Σάρσφιλντ νίκη 20%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.07 · Άνω 2.5 34% · Current selection Κάτω