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ARG Argentina Liga Profesional · Αγώνας ·

Ιντεπεντιέντε vs Πλατένσε

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Γηπεδούχος form
Projected score2–12.64 expected goals
Φιλοξενούμενος form
Νίκη γηπεδούχου55%
Ισοπαλία29%
Νίκη φιλοξενούμενου16%
Full model forecastΝίκη γηπεδούχουTier A · 55% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callΝίκη γηπεδούχου55% selection probability
Projected score2–1ΙντεπεντιέντεΠλατένσε
Expected goals2.64Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Κάτω51% for the selected side
Σκοράρουν και οι δύοΌχι60% for the selected side
Expected corners8.6Κάτω 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketΕπιλογήΠιθανότηταΔίκαιη απόδοση
55% / 29% / 16%Αποτέλεσμα αγώναΝίκη γηπεδούχου55%1.82
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Πλατένσε win (16.4%)Διπλή Ευκαιρία1X83.6%1.20
Άνω 49% · Κάτω 51%Goals 2.5Κάτω51%1.96
Ναι 40% · Όχι 60%Σκοράρουν και οι δύοΌχι60%1.67
2.64 total expected goalsΑκριβές σκορ2–1
8.6 expected match cornersΚόρνερΚάτω 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin6.6%Largest probability gapΙντεπεντιέντε winDifference+1.4 pp
OutcomeΠρόβλεψηΔίκαιη απόδοσηReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Ιντεπεντιέντε win55%1.821.7553.6%+1.4 pp
Ισοπαλία29%3.453.2029.3%-0.3 pp
Πλατένσε win16%6.255.5017.1%-1.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Ιντεπεντιέντε2.02

Γηπεδούχος share of expected goals 76.5%

Total expected goals2.64Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Άνω 49% · Κάτω 51%

Πλατένσε0.62

Φιλοξενούμενος share of expected goals 23.5%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitΝαι 40% · Όχι 60%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Γηπεδούχος-context · form sequence

Ιντεπεντιέντε

1.80pts / match
Αγώνες5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Πόντοι9

SignalΓηπεδούχος won 3/5

Φιλοξενούμενος-context · form sequence

Πλατένσε

0.80pts / match
Αγώνες5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Πόντοι4

SignalΓηπεδούχος matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
55%
Νίκη probability excluding draw
16%
9
Points from supplied form
4
2.02
Expected goals
0.62
ΙντεπεντιέντεΠλατένσε
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Ιντεπεντιέντε signalΓηπεδούχος won 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Πλατένσε signalΓηπεδούχος matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk45% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ισοπαλία probability alone is 29%.

Match questions

Ιντεπεντιέντε vs Πλατένσε FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Νίκη γηπεδούχου · Projected score 2–1 · 55% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Ιντεπεντιέντε νίκη 55%,Ισοπαλία 29%,Πλατένσε νίκη 16%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.64 · Άνω 2.5 49% · Current selection Κάτω