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ARG Argentina Liga Profesional · Mäng ·

Independiente vs Platense

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Kodu form
Projected score2–12.64 expected goals
Võõras form
Koduvõit55%
Viik29%
Võõrsilvõit16%
Full model forecastKoduvõitTier A · 55% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callKoduvõit55% selection probability
Projected score2–1IndependientePlatense
Expected goals2.64Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Alla51% for the selected side
Mõlemad meeskonnad löövad väravaEi60% for the selected side
Expected corners8.6Alla 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValikTõenäosusÕiglane koefitsient
55% / 29% / 16%Mängu tulemusKoduvõit55%1.82
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Platense win (16.4%)Topeltvõimalus1X83.6%1.20
Üle 49% · Alla 51%Goals 2.5Alla51%1.96
Jah 40% · Ei 60%Mõlemad meeskonnad löövad väravaEi60%1.67
2.64 total expected goalsTäpne skoor2–1
8.6 expected match cornersNurgalöögidAlla 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin6.6%Largest probability gapIndependiente winDifference+1.4 pp
OutcomeEnnustusÕiglane koefitsientReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Independiente win55%1.821.7553.6%+1.4 pp
Viik29%3.453.2029.3%-0.3 pp
Platense win16%6.255.5017.1%-1.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Independiente2.02

Kodu share of expected goals 76.5%

Total expected goals2.64Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Üle 49% · Alla 51%

Platense0.62

Võõras share of expected goals 23.5%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJah 40% · Ei 60%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Kodu-context · form sequence

Independiente

1.80pts / match
Mängitud5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Punktid9

SignalKodu won 3/5

Võõras-context · form sequence

Platense

0.80pts / match
Mängitud5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Punktid4

SignalKodu matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
55%
Võit probability excluding draw
16%
9
Points from supplied form
4
2.02
Expected goals
0.62
IndependientePlatense
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Independiente signalKodu won 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Platense signalKodu matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk45% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Viik probability alone is 29%.

Match questions

Independiente vs Platense FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Koduvõit · Projected score 2–1 · 55% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Independiente võit 55%,Viik 29%,Platense võit 16%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.64 · Üle 2.5 49% · Current selection Alla