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ARG Argentina Liga Profesional · Мач ·

Индепендиенте vs Платензе

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Домакин form
Projected score2–12.64 expected goals
Гост form
Победа за домакина55%
Равен29%
Победа за госта16%
Full model forecastПобеда за домакинаTier A · 55% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда за домакина55% selection probability
Projected score2–1ИндепендиентеПлатензе
Expected goals2.64Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Под51% for the selected side
И двата отбора да отбележатНе60% for the selected side
Expected corners8.6Под 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketИзборВероятностСправедлив коефициент
55% / 29% / 16%Резултат от мачаПобеда за домакина55%1.82
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Платензе win (16.4%)Двоен шанс1X83.6%1.20
Над 49% · Под 51%Goals 2.5Под51%1.96
Да 40% · Не 60%И двата отбора да отбележатНе60%1.67
2.64 total expected goalsТочен резултат2–1
8.6 expected match cornersКорнериПод 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin6.6%Largest probability gapИндепендиенте winDifference+1.4 pp
OutcomeПрогнозаСправедлив коефициентReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Индепендиенте win55%1.821.7553.6%+1.4 pp
Равен29%3.453.2029.3%-0.3 pp
Платензе win16%6.255.5017.1%-1.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Индепендиенте2.02

Домакин share of expected goals 76.5%

Total expected goals2.64Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Над 49% · Под 51%

Платензе0.62

Гост share of expected goals 23.5%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitДа 40% · Не 60%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Домакин-context · form sequence

Индепендиенте

1.80pts / match
Изиграни5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Точки9

SignalДомакин won 3/5

Гост-context · form sequence

Платензе

0.80pts / match
Изиграни5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Точки4

SignalДомакин matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
55%
Печеливш probability excluding draw
16%
9
Points from supplied form
4
2.02
Expected goals
0.62
ИндепендиентеПлатензе
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Индепендиенте signalДомакин won 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Платензе signalДомакин matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk45% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Равен probability alone is 29%.

Match questions

Индепендиенте vs Платензе FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа за домакина · Projected score 2–1 · 55% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Индепендиенте печеливш 55%,Равен 29%,Платензе печеливш 16%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.64 · Над 2.5 49% · Current selection Под