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ARG Argentina Liga Profesional · Mecz ·

Independiente vs Platense

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Gospodarze form
Projected score2–12.64 expected goals
Goście form
Wygrana gospodarzy55%
Remis29%
Wygrana gości16%
Full model forecastWygrana gospodarzyTier A · 55% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callWygrana gospodarzy55% selection probability
Projected score2–1IndependientePlatense
Expected goals2.64Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Poniżej51% for the selected side
Obie drużyny strzeląNie60% for the selected side
Expected corners8.6Poniżej 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketWybórPrawdopodobieństwoUczciwy kurs
55% / 29% / 16%Wynik meczuWygrana gospodarzy55%1.82
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Platense win (16.4%)Podwójna szansa1X83.6%1.20
Powyżej 49% · Poniżej 51%Goals 2.5Poniżej51%1.96
Tak 40% · Nie 60%Obie drużyny strzeląNie60%1.67
2.64 total expected goalsDokładny wynik2–1
8.6 expected match cornersRożnePoniżej 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin6.6%Largest probability gapIndependiente winDifference+1.4 pp
OutcomePrognozaUczciwy kursReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Independiente win55%1.821.7553.6%+1.4 pp
Remis29%3.453.2029.3%-0.3 pp
Platense win16%6.255.5017.1%-1.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Independiente2.02

Gospodarze share of expected goals 76.5%

Total expected goals2.64Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Powyżej 49% · Poniżej 51%

Platense0.62

Goście share of expected goals 23.5%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitTak 40% · Nie 60%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Gospodarze-context · form sequence

Independiente

1.80pts / match
Rozegrane5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Punkty9

SignalGospodarze won 3/5

Goście-context · form sequence

Platense

0.80pts / match
Rozegrane5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Punkty4

SignalGospodarze matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
55%
Wygrana probability excluding draw
16%
9
Points from supplied form
4
2.02
Expected goals
0.62
IndependientePlatense
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Independiente signalGospodarze won 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Platense signalGospodarze matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk45% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Remis probability alone is 29%.

Match questions

Independiente vs Platense FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Wygrana gospodarzy · Projected score 2–1 · 55% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Independiente wygrana 55%,Remis 29%,Platense wygrana 16%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.64 · Powyżej 2.5 49% · Current selection Poniżej