Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketSelezioneProbabilitàQuote eque
55% / 29% / 16%Esito partitaVittoria casa55%1.82
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Platense win (16.4%)Doppia Chance1X83.6%1.20
Sopra 49% · Sotto 51%Goals 2.5Sotto51%1.96
Sì 40% · No 60%Entrambe le squadre segnanoNo60%1.67
2.64 total expected goalsRisultato esatto2–1——
8.6 expected match cornersCornerSotto 9.5——
Price comparison
Published forecast vs reference market
Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.
Displayed margin6.6%Largest probability gapIndependiente winDifference+1.4 pp
OutcomePronosticoQuote equeReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Independiente win55%1.821.7553.6%+1.4 pp
Pareggio29%3.453.2029.3%-0.3 pp
Platense win16%6.255.5017.1%-1.1 pp
Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Casa share of expected goals 76.5%
Total expected goals2.64Balanced
Dedicated goals model: Sopra 49% · Sotto 51%
Trasferta share of expected goals 23.5%
Projected score2–1BTTS splitSì 40% · No 60%Match profileBalanced
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Casa-context · form sequence
1.80pts / matchIndependiente
LWWWL
Giocate5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Punti9
SignalCasa won 3/5
Trasferta-context · form sequence
0.80pts / matchPlatense
LLDWL
Giocate5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Punti4
SignalCasa matches under 2.5: 4/5
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
55%
Vinta probability excluding draw
16%9
Points from supplied form
42.02
Expected goals
0.62IndependientePlatense
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Model and market agree on HOME
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Pareggio probability alone is 29%.
Match questions
Independiente vs Platense FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Vittoria casa · Projected score 2–1 · 55% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
Independiente vinta 55%，Pareggio 29%，Platense vinta 16%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 2.64 · Sopra 2.5 49% · Current selection Sotto。