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ARG Argentina Liga Profesional · Partita ·

Tigre vs River Plate

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Casa form
Projected score1–11.89 expected goals
Trasferta form
Vittoria casa27%
Pareggio32%
Vittoria ospite41%
Full model forecastVittoria ospiteTier A · 41% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans AWAY; raw model leaned HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVittoria ospite41% selection probability
Projected score1–1TigreRiver Plate
Expected goals1.89Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Sotto71% for the selected side
Entrambe le squadre segnanoNo63% for the selected side
Expected corners8.6Sotto 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelezioneProbabilitàQuote eque
27% / 32% / 41%Esito partitaVittoria ospite41%2.44
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Tigre win (26.8%)Doppia ChanceX273.2%1.37
Sopra 29% · Sotto 71%Goals 2.5Sotto71%1.41
Sì 37% · No 63%Entrambe le squadre segnanoNo63%1.59
1.89 total expected goalsRisultato esatto1–1
8.6 expected match cornersCornerSotto 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin4.8%Largest probability gapRiver Plate winDifference-1.4 pp
OutcomePronosticoQuote equeReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Tigre win27%3.703.7025.8%+1.2 pp
Pareggio32%3.133.0031.8%+0.2 pp
River Plate win41%2.442.2542.4%-1.4 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Tigre1.06

Casa share of expected goals 56.1%

Total expected goals1.89Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Sopra 29% · Sotto 71%

River Plate0.83

Trasferta share of expected goals 43.9%

Projected score1–1BTTS split 37% · No 63%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Casa-context · form sequence

Tigre

1.40pts / match
Giocate5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Punti7

SignalCasa matches over 2.5: 3/5

Trasferta-context · form sequence

River Plate

0.60pts / match
Giocate5Wins1Drawn0Losses4Punti3

SignalCasa clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
27%
Vinta probability excluding draw
41%
7
Points from supplied form
3
1.06
Expected goals
0.83
TigreRiver Plate
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans AWAY; raw model leaned HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Tigre signalCasa matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02River Plate signalCasa clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk59% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Pareggio probability alone is 32%.

Match questions

Tigre vs River Plate FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vittoria ospite · Projected score 1–1 · 41% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Tigre vinta 27%,Pareggio 32%,River Plate vinta 41%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.89 · Sopra 2.5 29% · Current selection Sotto