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ARG Argentina Liga Profesional · Partida ·

Tigre vs River Plate

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Mandante form
Projected score1–11.89 expected goals
Visitante form
Vitória da casa27%
Empate33%
Vitória visitante41%
Full model forecastVitória visitanteTier A · 41% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans AWAY; raw model leaned HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVitória visitante41% selection probability
Projected score1–1TigreRiver Plate
Expected goals1.89Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Abaixo71% for the selected side
Ambas as equipes marcamNão63% for the selected side
Expected corners8.6Abaixo 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSeleçãoProbabilidadeOdds justas
27% / 33% / 41%Resultado da partidaVitória visitante41%2.44
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Tigre win (26.6%)Dupla ChanceX273.4%1.36
Acima 29% · Abaixo 71%Goals 2.5Abaixo71%1.41
Sim 37% · Não 63%Ambas as equipes marcamNão63%1.59
1.89 total expected goalsPlacar exato1–1
8.6 expected match cornersEscanteiosAbaixo 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin6.0%Largest probability gapTigre winDifference+1.5 pp
OutcomePrevisãoOdds justasReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Tigre win27%3.703.7025.5%+1.5 pp
Empate33%3.032.9032.5%+0.5 pp
River Plate win41%2.442.2541.9%-0.9 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Tigre1.06

Mandante share of expected goals 56.1%

Total expected goals1.89Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Acima 29% · Abaixo 71%

River Plate0.83

Visitante share of expected goals 43.9%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitSim 37% · Não 63%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Mandante-context · form sequence

Tigre

1.40pts / match
Jogos5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Pontos7

SignalMandante matches over 2.5: 3/5

Visitante-context · form sequence

River Plate

0.60pts / match
Jogos5Wins1Drawn0Losses4Pontos3

SignalMandante clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
27%
Ganhou probability excluding draw
41%
7
Points from supplied form
3
1.06
Expected goals
0.83
TigreRiver Plate
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans AWAY; raw model leaned HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Tigre signalMandante matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02River Plate signalMandante clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk59% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Empate probability alone is 33%.

Match questions

Tigre vs River Plate FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vitória visitante · Projected score 1–1 · 41% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Tigre ganhou 27%,Empate 33%,River Plate ganhou 41%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.89 · Acima 2.5 29% · Current selection Abaixo