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Tigre vs River Plate

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Chủ nhà form
Projected score1–11.89 expected goals
Khách form
Chủ nhà thắng27%
Hòa33%
Đội khách thắng41%
Full model forecastĐội khách thắngTier A · 41% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans AWAY; raw model leaned HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callĐội khách thắng41% selection probability
Projected score1–1TigreRiver Plate
Expected goals1.89Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Xỉu71% for the selected side
Cả hai đội ghi bànKhông63% for the selected side
Expected corners8.6Xỉu 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketLựa chọnXác suấtTỷ lệ công bằng
27% / 33% / 41%Kết quả trận đấuĐội khách thắng41%2.44
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Tigre win (26.6%)Cơ hội képX273.4%1.36
Tài 29% · Xỉu 71%Goals 2.5Xỉu71%1.41
Có 37% · Không 63%Cả hai đội ghi bànKhông63%1.59
1.89 total expected goalsTỷ số chính xác1–1
8.6 expected match cornersPhạt gócXỉu 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin6.0%Largest probability gapTigre winDifference+1.5 pp
OutcomeDự đoánTỷ lệ công bằngReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Tigre win27%3.703.7025.5%+1.5 pp
Hòa33%3.032.9032.5%+0.5 pp
River Plate win41%2.442.2541.9%-0.9 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Tigre1.06

Chủ nhà share of expected goals 56.1%

Total expected goals1.89Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Tài 29% · Xỉu 71%

River Plate0.83

Khách share of expected goals 43.9%

Projected score1–1BTTS split 37% · Không 63%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Chủ nhà-context · form sequence

Tigre

1.40pts / match
Số trận5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Điểm7

SignalChủ nhà matches over 2.5: 3/5

Khách-context · form sequence

River Plate

0.60pts / match
Số trận5Wins1Drawn0Losses4Điểm3

SignalChủ nhà clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
27%
Thắng probability excluding draw
41%
7
Points from supplied form
3
1.06
Expected goals
0.83
TigreRiver Plate
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans AWAY; raw model leaned HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Tigre signalChủ nhà matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02River Plate signalChủ nhà clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk59% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Hòa probability alone is 33%.

Match questions

Tigre vs River Plate FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Đội khách thắng · Projected score 1–1 · 41% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Tigre thắng 27%,Hòa 33%,River Plate thắng 41%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.89 · Tài 2.5 29% · Current selection Xỉu