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ARG Argentina Liga Profesional · Match ·

Tigre vs River Plate

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Domicile form
Projected score1–11.89 expected goals
Extérieur form
Victoire à domicile27%
Nul33%
Victoire à l’extérieur41%
Full model forecastVictoire à l’extérieurTier A · 41% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans AWAY; raw model leaned HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoire à l’extérieur41% selection probability
Projected score1–1TigreRiver Plate
Expected goals1.89Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Moins de71% for the selected side
Les deux équipes marquentNon63% for the selected side
Expected corners8.6Moins de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSélectionProbabilitéCote juste
27% / 33% / 41%Résultat du matchVictoire à l’extérieur41%2.44
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Tigre win (26.6%)Double chanceX273.4%1.36
Plus de 29% · Moins de 71%Goals 2.5Moins de71%1.41
Oui 37% · Non 63%Les deux équipes marquentNon63%1.59
1.89 total expected goalsScore exact1–1
8.6 expected match cornersCornersMoins de 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin6.0%Largest probability gapTigre winDifference+1.5 pp
OutcomePronosticCote justeReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Tigre win27%3.703.7025.5%+1.5 pp
Nul33%3.032.9032.5%+0.5 pp
River Plate win41%2.442.2541.9%-0.9 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Tigre1.06

Domicile share of expected goals 56.1%

Total expected goals1.89Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Plus de 29% · Moins de 71%

River Plate0.83

Extérieur share of expected goals 43.9%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitOui 37% · Non 63%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domicile-context · form sequence

Tigre

1.40pts / match
Joués5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Points7

SignalDomicile matches over 2.5: 3/5

Extérieur-context · form sequence

River Plate

0.60pts / match
Joués5Wins1Drawn0Losses4Points3

SignalDomicile clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
27%
Gagné probability excluding draw
41%
7
Points from supplied form
3
1.06
Expected goals
0.83
TigreRiver Plate
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans AWAY; raw model leaned HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Tigre signalDomicile matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02River Plate signalDomicile clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk59% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Nul probability alone is 33%.

Match questions

Tigre vs River Plate FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoire à l’extérieur · Projected score 1–1 · 41% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Tigre victoire 27%,Nul 33%,River Plate victoire 41%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.89 · Plus de 2.5 29% · Current selection Moins de