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ARG Argentina Liga Profesional · Spiel ·

Tigre vs River Plate

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Heim form
Projected score1–11.89 expected goals
Auswärts form
Heimsieg27%
Unentschieden33%
Auswärtssieg41%
Full model forecastAuswärtssiegTier A · 41% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans AWAY; raw model leaned HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callAuswärtssieg41% selection probability
Projected score1–1TigreRiver Plate
Expected goals1.89Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Unter71% for the selected side
Beide Teams treffenNein63% for the selected side
Expected corners8.6Unter 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketAuswahlWahrscheinlichkeitFaire Quote
27% / 33% / 41%SpielergebnisAuswärtssieg41%2.44
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Tigre win (26.6%)Doppelte ChanceX273.4%1.36
Über 29% · Unter 71%Goals 2.5Unter71%1.41
Ja 37% · Nein 63%Beide Teams treffenNein63%1.59
1.89 total expected goalsGenaues Ergebnis1–1
8.6 expected match cornersEckenUnter 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin6.0%Largest probability gapTigre winDifference+1.5 pp
OutcomePrognoseFaire QuoteReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Tigre win27%3.703.7025.5%+1.5 pp
Unentschieden33%3.032.9032.5%+0.5 pp
River Plate win41%2.442.2541.9%-0.9 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Tigre1.06

Heim share of expected goals 56.1%

Total expected goals1.89Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Über 29% · Unter 71%

River Plate0.83

Auswärts share of expected goals 43.9%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJa 37% · Nein 63%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Heim-context · form sequence

Tigre

1.40pts / match
Gespielt5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Punkte7

SignalHeim matches over 2.5: 3/5

Auswärts-context · form sequence

River Plate

0.60pts / match
Gespielt5Wins1Drawn0Losses4Punkte3

SignalHeim clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
27%
Gewinn probability excluding draw
41%
7
Points from supplied form
3
1.06
Expected goals
0.83
TigreRiver Plate
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans AWAY; raw model leaned HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Tigre signalHeim matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02River Plate signalHeim clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk59% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Unentschieden probability alone is 33%.

Match questions

Tigre vs River Plate FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Auswärtssieg · Projected score 1–1 · 41% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Tigre Gewinn 27%,Unentschieden 33%,River Plate Gewinn 41%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.89 · Über 2.5 29% · Current selection Unter