Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketSelectieWaarschijnlijkheidEerlijke odds
55% / 29% / 16%WedstrijdresultaatThuiswinst55%1.82
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Platense win (16.4%)Dubbele Kans1X83.6%1.20
Boven 49% · Onder 51%Goals 2.5Onder51%1.96
Ja 40% · Nee 60%Beide teams scorenNee60%1.67
2.64 total expected goalsExacte score2–1——
8.6 expected match cornersHoekschoppenOnder 9.5——
Price comparison
Published forecast vs reference market
Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.
Displayed margin6.6%Largest probability gapIndependiente winDifference+1.4 pp
OutcomeVoorspellingEerlijke oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Independiente win55%1.821.7553.6%+1.4 pp
Gelijkspel29%3.453.2029.3%-0.3 pp
Platense win16%6.255.5017.1%-1.1 pp
Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Thuis share of expected goals 76.5%
Total expected goals2.64Balanced
Dedicated goals model: Boven 49% · Onder 51%
Uit share of expected goals 23.5%
Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 40% · Nee 60%Match profileBalanced
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Thuis-context · form sequence
1.80pts / matchIndependiente
LWWWL
Gespeeld5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Punten9
SignalThuis won 3/5
Uit-context · form sequence
0.80pts / matchPlatense
LLDWL
Gespeeld5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Punten4
SignalThuis matches under 2.5: 4/5
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
55%
Gewonnen probability excluding draw
16%9
Points from supplied form
42.02
Expected goals
0.62IndependientePlatense
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Model and market agree on HOME
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Gelijkspel probability alone is 29%.
Match questions
Independiente vs Platense FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Thuiswinst · Projected score 2–1 · 55% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
Independiente gewonnen 55%，Gelijkspel 29%，Platense gewonnen 16%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 2.64 · Boven 2.5 49% · Current selection Onder。