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ARG Argentina Liga Profesional · Мач ·

Атлетико Тукуман vs Сармиенто

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Домакин form
Projected score1–12.42 expected goals
Гост form
Победа за домакина50%
Равен29%
Победа за госта20%
Full model forecastПобеда за домакинаTier A · 50% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда за домакина50% selection probability
Projected score1–1Атлетико ТукуманСармиенто
Expected goals2.42Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Под57% for the selected side
И двата отбора да отбележатНе52% for the selected side
Expected corners8.5Под 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketИзборВероятностСправедлив коефициент
50% / 29% / 20%Резултат от мачаПобеда за домакина50%2.00
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Сармиенто win (20.3%)Двоен шанс1X79.7%1.25
Над 43% · Под 57%Goals 2.5Под57%1.75
Да 48% · Не 52%И двата отбора да отбележатНе52%1.92
2.42 total expected goalsТочен резултат1–1
8.5 expected match cornersКорнериПод 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin6.4%Largest probability gapАтлетико Тукуман winDifference-0.8 pp
OutcomeПрогнозаСправедлив коефициентReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Атлетико Тукуман win50%2.001.8550.8%-0.8 pp
Равен29%3.453.2029.4%-0.4 pp
Сармиенто win20%5.004.7519.8%+0.2 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Атлетико Тукуман1.41

Домакин share of expected goals 58.3%

Total expected goals2.42Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Над 43% · Под 57%

Сармиенто1.01

Гост share of expected goals 41.7%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitДа 48% · Не 52%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Домакин-context · form sequence

Атлетико Тукуман

2.20pts / match
Изиграни5Wins3Drawn2Losses0Точки11

SignalДомакин unbeaten 5/5

Гост-context · form sequence

Сармиенто

0.60pts / match
Изиграни5Wins1Drawn0Losses4Точки3

SignalДомакин matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
50%
Печеливш probability excluding draw
20%
11
Points from supplied form
3
1.41
Expected goals
1.01
Атлетико ТукуманСармиенто
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Атлетико Тукуман signalДомакин unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Сармиенто signalДомакин matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk50% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Равен probability alone is 29%.

Match questions

Атлетико Тукуман vs Сармиенто FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа за домакина · Projected score 1–1 · 50% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Атлетико Тукуман печеливш 50%,Равен 29%,Сармиенто печеливш 20%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.42 · Над 2.5 43% · Current selection Под