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ARG Argentina Liga Profesional · Partido ·

Club Atlético Tucumán vs Sarmiento

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Local form
Projected score1–12.42 expected goals
Visitante form
Victoria local50%
Empate29%
Victoria visitante20%
Full model forecastVictoria localTier A · 50% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoria local50% selection probability
Projected score1–1Club Atlético TucumánSarmiento
Expected goals2.42Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Menos de57% for the selected side
Ambos equipos marcanNo52% for the selected side
Expected corners8.5Menos de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecciónProbabilidadCuotas justas
50% / 29% / 20%Resultado del partidoVictoria local50%2.00
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Sarmiento win (20.3%)Doble Oportunidad1X79.7%1.25
Más de 43% · Menos de 57%Goals 2.5Menos de57%1.75
Sí 48% · No 52%Ambos equipos marcanNo52%1.92
2.42 total expected goalsMarcador exacto1–1
8.5 expected match cornersCórnersMenos de 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin6.4%Largest probability gapClub Atlético Tucumán winDifference-0.8 pp
OutcomePronósticoCuotas justasReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Club Atlético Tucumán win50%2.001.8550.8%-0.8 pp
Empate29%3.453.2029.4%-0.4 pp
Sarmiento win20%5.004.7519.8%+0.2 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Club Atlético Tucumán1.41

Local share of expected goals 58.3%

Total expected goals2.42Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Más de 43% · Menos de 57%

Sarmiento1.01

Visitante share of expected goals 41.7%

Projected score1–1BTTS split 48% · No 52%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Local-context · form sequence

Club Atlético Tucumán

2.20pts / match
Jugados5Wins3Drawn2Losses0Puntos11

SignalLocal unbeaten 5/5

Visitante-context · form sequence

Sarmiento

0.60pts / match
Jugados5Wins1Drawn0Losses4Puntos3

SignalLocal matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
50%
Ganado probability excluding draw
20%
11
Points from supplied form
3
1.41
Expected goals
1.01
Club Atlético TucumánSarmiento
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Club Atlético Tucumán signalLocal unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Sarmiento signalLocal matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk50% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Empate probability alone is 29%.

Match questions

Club Atlético Tucumán vs Sarmiento FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoria local · Projected score 1–1 · 50% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Club Atlético Tucumán ganada 50%,Empate 29%,Sarmiento ganada 20%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.42 · Más de 2.5 43% · Current selection Menos de