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ARG Argentina Liga Profesional · Мач ·

Бока Хуниорс vs Велез Сарсфийлд

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Домакин form
Projected score1–12.07 expected goals
Гост form
Победа за домакина51%
Равен29%
Победа за госта20%
Full model forecastПобеда за домакинаTier A · 51% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда за домакина51% selection probability
Projected score1–1Бока ХуниорсВелез Сарсфийлд
Expected goals2.07Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Под66% for the selected side
И двата отбора да отбележатНе61% for the selected side
Expected corners8.6Под 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketИзборВероятностСправедлив коефициент
51% / 29% / 20%Резултат от мачаПобеда за домакина51%1.96
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Велез Сарсфийлд win (19.8%)Двоен шанс1X80.2%1.25
Над 34% · Под 66%Goals 2.5Под66%1.52
Да 39% · Не 61%И двата отбора да отбележатНе61%1.64
2.07 total expected goalsТочен резултат1–1
8.6 expected match cornersКорнериПод 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin6.4%Largest probability gapDrawDifference-0.4 pp
OutcomeПрогнозаСправедлив коефициентReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Бока Хуниорс win51%1.961.8550.8%+0.2 pp
Равен29%3.453.2029.4%-0.4 pp
Велез Сарсфийлд win20%5.004.7519.8%+0.2 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Бока Хуниорс1.33

Домакин share of expected goals 64.3%

Total expected goals2.07Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Над 34% · Под 66%

Велез Сарсфийлд0.74

Гост share of expected goals 35.7%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitДа 39% · Не 61%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Домакин-context · form sequence

Бока Хуниорс

1.40pts / match
Изиграни5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Точки7

SignalДомакин clean sheets: 2/5

Гост-context · form sequence

Велез Сарсфийлд

2.00pts / match
Изиграни5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Точки10

SignalГост unbeaten 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
51%
Печеливш probability excluding draw
20%
7
Points from supplied form
10
1.33
Expected goals
0.74
Бока ХуниорсВелез Сарсфийлд
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Бока Хуниорс signalДомакин clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Велез Сарсфийлд signalГост unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk49% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Равен probability alone is 29%.

Match questions

Бока Хуниорс vs Велез Сарсфийлд FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа за домакина · Projected score 1–1 · 51% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Бока Хуниорс печеливш 51%,Равен 29%,Велез Сарсфийлд печеливш 20%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.07 · Над 2.5 34% · Current selection Под