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ARG 阿根廷職業聯賽 · 比賽 ·

博卡青年 vs 沙士菲

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

主隊 form
Projected score1–12.07 expected goals
客隊 form
主勝45%
31%
客勝24%
Full model forecast主勝Tier A · 45% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary call主勝45% selection probability
Projected score1–1博卡青年沙士菲
Expected goals2.07Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.566% for the selected side
雙方進球61% for the selected side
Expected corners8.6小 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

Market投注機率公平賠率
45% / 31% / 24%比賽結果主勝45%2.22
Derived from 1X2 · excludes 沙士菲 win (24.1%)雙重機會1X75.9%1.32
大 34% · 小 66%Goals 2.566%1.52
是 39% · 否 61%雙方進球61%1.64
2.07 total expected goals正確比分1–1
8.6 expected match corners角球小 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

否 snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probability公平賠率
博卡青年 win45%2.22
31%3.23
沙士菲 win24%4.17

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

博卡青年1.33

主隊 share of expected goals 64.3%

Total expected goals2.07Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: 34% · 66%

沙士菲0.74

客隊 share of expected goals 35.7%

Projected score1–1BTTS split 39% · 61%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

主隊-context · form sequence

博卡青年

1.40pts / match
5Wins2Drawn1Losses2積分7

Signal主隊 clean sheets: 2/5

客隊-context · form sequence

沙士菲

2.00pts / match
5Wins3Drawn1Losses1積分10

Signal客隊 unbeaten 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
45%
贏 probability excluding draw
24%
7
Points from supplied form
10
1.33
Expected goals
0.74
博卡青年沙士菲
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01博卡青年 signal主隊 clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02沙士菲 signal客隊 unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk55% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. 平 probability alone is 31%.

Match questions

博卡青年 vs 沙士菲 FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: 主勝 · Projected score 1–1 · 45% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

博卡青年 45%, 31%,沙士菲 24%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.07 · 大2.5 34% · Current selection