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IRL Republic of Ireland Premier Division · Final ·

Shelbourne vs St Patrick's Athletic

Prediction review

Domicile form
Final score1–2Pronostic 1–1
Extérieur form
Victoire à domicile26%
Nul29%
Victoire à l’extérieur45%
Full model forecastVictoire à l’extérieurTier A · 45% selection probability
Prediction Gagné
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoire à l’extérieur45% selection probability
Projected score1–1ShelbourneSt Patrick's Athletic
Expected goals2.26Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Moins de61% for the selected side
Les deux équipes marquentNon54% for the selected side
Expected corners10.2Plus de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSélectionProbabilitéCote juste
26% / 29% / 45%Résultat du matchVictoire à l’extérieur45%2.22
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Shelbourne win (26.4%)Double chanceX273.6%1.36
Plus de 39% · Moins de 61%Goals 2.5Moins de61%1.64
Oui 46% · Non 54%Les deux équipes marquentNon54%1.85
2.26 total expected goalsScore exact1–1
10.2 expected match cornersCornersPlus de 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin8.6%Largest probability gapShelbourne winDifference-0.3 pp
OutcomePronosticCote justeReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Shelbourne win26%3.853.5026.3%-0.3 pp
Nul29%3.453.2028.8%+0.2 pp
St Patrick's Athletic win45%2.222.0544.9%+0.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Shelbourne0.97

Domicile share of expected goals 42.9%

Total expected goals2.26Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Plus de 39% · Moins de 61%

St Patrick's Athletic1.29

Extérieur share of expected goals 57.1%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitOui 46% · Non 54%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domicile-context · form sequence

Shelbourne

1.20pts / match
Joués5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Points6

SignalDomicile matches over 2.5: 4/5

Extérieur-context · form sequence

St Patrick's Athletic

1.20pts / match
Joués5Wins1Drawn3Losses1Points6

SignalExtérieur unbeaten 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
26%
Gagné probability excluding draw
45%
6
Points from supplied form
6
0.97
Expected goals
1.29
ShelbourneSt Patrick's Athletic
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Shelbourne signalDomicile matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02St Patrick's Athletic signalExtérieur unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk55% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Nul probability alone is 29%.

Match questions

Shelbourne vs St Patrick's Athletic FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoire à l’extérieur · Projected score 1–1 · 45% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Shelbourne victoire 26%,Nul 29%,St Patrick's Athletic victoire 45%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.26 · Plus de 2.5 39% · Current selection Moins de