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IRL Republic of Ireland Premier Division · Mérkőzés ·

Shelbourne vs St Patrick's Athletic

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hazai form
Projected score1–12.26 expected goals
Vendég form
Hazai győzelem26%
Döntetlen29%
Vendég győzelem45%
Full model forecastVendég győzelemTier A · 45% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVendég győzelem45% selection probability
Projected score1–1ShelbourneSt Patrick's Athletic
Expected goals2.26Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Alatt61% for the selected side
Mindkét csapat szerez góltNem54% for the selected side
Expected corners10.2Felett 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketVálasztásValószínűségValós odds
26% / 29% / 45%Mérkőzés eredményeVendég győzelem45%2.22
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Shelbourne win (26.4%)Dupla esélyX273.6%1.36
Felett 39% · Alatt 61%Goals 2.5Alatt61%1.64
Igen 46% · Nem 54%Mindkét csapat szerez góltNem54%1.85
2.26 total expected goalsPontos eredmény1–1
10.2 expected match cornersSzögletekFelett 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin8.6%Largest probability gapShelbourne winDifference-0.3 pp
OutcomeElőrejelzésValós oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Shelbourne win26%3.853.5026.3%-0.3 pp
Döntetlen29%3.453.2028.8%+0.2 pp
St Patrick's Athletic win45%2.222.0544.9%+0.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Shelbourne0.97

Hazai share of expected goals 42.9%

Total expected goals2.26Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Felett 39% · Alatt 61%

St Patrick's Athletic1.29

Vendég share of expected goals 57.1%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitIgen 46% · Nem 54%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hazai-context · form sequence

Shelbourne

1.20pts / match
Lejátszott5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Pontok6

SignalHazai matches over 2.5: 4/5

Vendég-context · form sequence

St Patrick's Athletic

1.20pts / match
Lejátszott5Wins1Drawn3Losses1Pontok6

SignalVendég unbeaten 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
26%
Nyert probability excluding draw
45%
6
Points from supplied form
6
0.97
Expected goals
1.29
ShelbourneSt Patrick's Athletic
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Shelbourne signalHazai matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02St Patrick's Athletic signalVendég unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk55% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Döntetlen probability alone is 29%.

Match questions

Shelbourne vs St Patrick's Athletic FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vendég győzelem · Projected score 1–1 · 45% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Shelbourne nyer 26%,Döntetlen 29%,St Patrick's Athletic nyer 45%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.26 · 2.5 felett 39% · Current selection Alatt