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IRL Republic of Ireland Premier Division · Zápas ·

Shelbourne vs St Patrick's Athletic

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Domáci form
Projected score1–12.26 expected goals
Hostia form
Výhra domácich26%
Remíza29%
Výhra hostí45%
Full model forecastVýhra hostíTier A · 45% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVýhra hostí45% selection probability
Projected score1–1ShelbourneSt Patrick's Athletic
Expected goals2.26Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Menej61% for the selected side
Oba tímy skórujúNie54% for the selected side
Expected corners10.2Viac 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketVýberPravdepodobnosťFérový kurz
26% / 29% / 45%Výsledok zápasuVýhra hostí45%2.22
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Shelbourne win (26.4%)Dvojitá šancaX273.6%1.36
Viac 39% · Menej 61%Goals 2.5Menej61%1.64
Áno 46% · Nie 54%Oba tímy skórujúNie54%1.85
2.26 total expected goalsPresné skóre1–1
10.2 expected match cornersRohyViac 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin8.6%Largest probability gapShelbourne winDifference-0.3 pp
OutcomePredpoveďFérový kurzReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Shelbourne win26%3.853.5026.3%-0.3 pp
Remíza29%3.453.2028.8%+0.2 pp
St Patrick's Athletic win45%2.222.0544.9%+0.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Shelbourne0.97

Domáci share of expected goals 42.9%

Total expected goals2.26Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Viac 39% · Menej 61%

St Patrick's Athletic1.29

Hostia share of expected goals 57.1%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitÁno 46% · Nie 54%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domáci-context · form sequence

Shelbourne

1.20pts / match
Odohrané5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Body6

SignalDomáci matches over 2.5: 4/5

Hostia-context · form sequence

St Patrick's Athletic

1.20pts / match
Odohrané5Wins1Drawn3Losses1Body6

SignalHostia unbeaten 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
26%
Výhra probability excluding draw
45%
6
Points from supplied form
6
0.97
Expected goals
1.29
ShelbourneSt Patrick's Athletic
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Shelbourne signalDomáci matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02St Patrick's Athletic signalHostia unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk55% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Remíza probability alone is 29%.

Match questions

Shelbourne vs St Patrick's Athletic FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Výhra hostí · Projected score 1–1 · 45% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Shelbourne výhra 26%,Remíza 29%,St Patrick's Athletic výhra 45%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.26 · Viac 2.5 39% · Current selection Menej