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IRL Republic of Ireland Premier Division · Match ·

Shelbourne vs St Patrick's Athletic

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hemma form
Projected score1–12.26 expected goals
Borta form
Hemmaseger26%
Oavgjort29%
Bortaseger45%
Full model forecastBortasegerTier A · 45% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callBortaseger45% selection probability
Projected score1–1ShelbourneSt Patrick's Athletic
Expected goals2.26Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Under61% for the selected side
Båda lagen gör målNej54% for the selected side
Expected corners10.2Över 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValSannolikhetRättvist odds
26% / 29% / 45%MatchresultatBortaseger45%2.22
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Shelbourne win (26.4%)DubbelchansX273.6%1.36
Över 39% · Under 61%Goals 2.5Under61%1.64
Ja 46% · Nej 54%Båda lagen gör målNej54%1.85
2.26 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat1–1
10.2 expected match cornersHörnorÖver 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin8.6%Largest probability gapShelbourne winDifference-0.3 pp
OutcomePrognosRättvist oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Shelbourne win26%3.853.5026.3%-0.3 pp
Oavgjort29%3.453.2028.8%+0.2 pp
St Patrick's Athletic win45%2.222.0544.9%+0.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Shelbourne0.97

Hemma share of expected goals 42.9%

Total expected goals2.26Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Över 39% · Under 61%

St Patrick's Athletic1.29

Borta share of expected goals 57.1%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJa 46% · Nej 54%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hemma-context · form sequence

Shelbourne

1.20pts / match
Spelade5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Poäng6

SignalHemma matches over 2.5: 4/5

Borta-context · form sequence

St Patrick's Athletic

1.20pts / match
Spelade5Wins1Drawn3Losses1Poäng6

SignalBorta unbeaten 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
26%
Vunnen probability excluding draw
45%
6
Points from supplied form
6
0.97
Expected goals
1.29
ShelbourneSt Patrick's Athletic
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Shelbourne signalHemma matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02St Patrick's Athletic signalBorta unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk55% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Oavgjort probability alone is 29%.

Match questions

Shelbourne vs St Patrick's Athletic FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Bortaseger · Projected score 1–1 · 45% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Shelbourne vunnen 26%,Oavgjort 29%,St Patrick's Athletic vunnen 45%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.26 · Över 2.5 39% · Current selection Under