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IRL Republic of Ireland Premier Division · Αγώνας ·

Σέλμπουρν vs Σέιντ Πάτρικς Αθλέτικ

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Γηπεδούχος form
Projected score1–12.26 expected goals
Φιλοξενούμενος form
Νίκη γηπεδούχου26%
Ισοπαλία29%
Νίκη φιλοξενούμενου45%
Full model forecastΝίκη φιλοξενούμενουTier A · 45% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callΝίκη φιλοξενούμενου45% selection probability
Projected score1–1ΣέλμπουρνΣέιντ Πάτρικς Αθλέτικ
Expected goals2.26Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Κάτω61% for the selected side
Σκοράρουν και οι δύοΌχι54% for the selected side
Expected corners10.2Άνω 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketΕπιλογήΠιθανότηταΔίκαιη απόδοση
26% / 29% / 45%Αποτέλεσμα αγώναΝίκη φιλοξενούμενου45%2.22
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Σέλμπουρν win (26.4%)Διπλή ΕυκαιρίαX273.6%1.36
Άνω 39% · Κάτω 61%Goals 2.5Κάτω61%1.64
Ναι 46% · Όχι 54%Σκοράρουν και οι δύοΌχι54%1.85
2.26 total expected goalsΑκριβές σκορ1–1
10.2 expected match cornersΚόρνερΆνω 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin8.6%Largest probability gapΣέλμπουρν winDifference-0.3 pp
OutcomeΠρόβλεψηΔίκαιη απόδοσηReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Σέλμπουρν win26%3.853.5026.3%-0.3 pp
Ισοπαλία29%3.453.2028.8%+0.2 pp
Σέιντ Πάτρικς Αθλέτικ win45%2.222.0544.9%+0.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Σέλμπουρν0.97

Γηπεδούχος share of expected goals 42.9%

Total expected goals2.26Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Άνω 39% · Κάτω 61%

Σέιντ Πάτρικς Αθλέτικ1.29

Φιλοξενούμενος share of expected goals 57.1%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitΝαι 46% · Όχι 54%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Γηπεδούχος-context · form sequence

Σέλμπουρν

1.20pts / match
Αγώνες5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Πόντοι6

SignalΓηπεδούχος matches over 2.5: 4/5

Φιλοξενούμενος-context · form sequence

Σέιντ Πάτρικς Αθλέτικ

1.20pts / match
Αγώνες5Wins1Drawn3Losses1Πόντοι6

SignalΦιλοξενούμενος unbeaten 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
26%
Νίκη probability excluding draw
45%
6
Points from supplied form
6
0.97
Expected goals
1.29
ΣέλμπουρνΣέιντ Πάτρικς Αθλέτικ
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Σέλμπουρν signalΓηπεδούχος matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Σέιντ Πάτρικς Αθλέτικ signalΦιλοξενούμενος unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk55% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ισοπαλία probability alone is 29%.

Match questions

Σέλμπουρν vs Σέιντ Πάτρικς Αθλέτικ FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Νίκη φιλοξενούμενου · Projected score 1–1 · 45% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Σέλμπουρν νίκη 26%,Ισοπαλία 29%,Σέιντ Πάτρικς Αθλέτικ νίκη 45%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.26 · Άνω 2.5 39% · Current selection Κάτω