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LUX Luxembourg - Division Nationale · Match ·

Swift Hesperange vs Wiltz

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Domicile form
Projected score1–12.86 expected goals
Extérieur form
Victoire à domicile39%
Nul26%
Victoire à l’extérieur35%
Market-based forecastVictoire à domicileTier B · 39% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoire à domicile39% selection probability
Projected score1–1Swift HesperangeWiltz
Expected goals2.86Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Plus de55% for the selected side
Les deux équipes marquentOui58% for the selected side
Expected corners8.9Moins de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSélectionProbabilitéCote juste
39% / 26% / 35%Résultat du matchVictoire à domicile39%2.56
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (25.6%)Double chance1274.4%1.34
Plus de 55% · Moins de 45%Goals 2.5Plus de55%1.82
Oui 58% · Non 42%Les deux équipes marquentOui58%1.72
2.86 total expected goalsScore exact1–1
8.9 expected match cornersCornersMoins de 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin11.3%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimAucun
OutcomePronosticCote justeReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Swift Hesperange win39%2.562.3039.1%
Nul26%3.853.5025.7%
Wiltz win35%2.862.5535.2%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Swift Hesperange1.49

Domicile share of expected goals 52.1%

Total expected goals2.86Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Plus de 55% · Moins de 45%

Wiltz1.37

Extérieur share of expected goals 47.9%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitOui 58% · Non 42%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domicile-context · form sequence

Swift Hesperange

0.80pts / match
Joués5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Points4

SignalDomicile matches over 2.5: 3/5

Extérieur-context · form sequence

Wiltz

0.50pts / match
Joués2Wins0Drawn1Losses1Points1

SignalDomicile failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
39%
Gagné probability excluding draw
35%
4
Points from supplied form
1
1.49
Expected goals
1.37
Swift HesperangeWiltz
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Swift Hesperange signalDomicile matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Wiltz signalDomicile failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk61% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Nul probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

Swift Hesperange vs Wiltz FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoire à domicile · Projected score 1–1 · 39% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Swift Hesperange victoire 39%,Nul 26%,Wiltz victoire 35%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.86 · Plus de 2.5 55% · Current selection Plus de