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LUX Luxemburg - Division Nationale · Meci ·

Swift Hesperange vs Wiltz

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Gazde form
Projected score1–12.86 expected goals
Oaspeți form
Victorie gazde39%
Egal26%
Victorie oaspeți35%
Market-based forecastVictorie gazdeTier B · 39% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictorie gazde39% selection probability
Projected score1–1Swift HesperangeWiltz
Expected goals2.86Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Peste55% for the selected side
Ambele echipe marcheazăDa58% for the selected side
Expected corners8.9Sub 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecțieProbabilitateCotă corectă
39% / 26% / 35%Rezultatul meciuluiVictorie gazde39%2.56
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (25.6%)Șansă dublă1274.4%1.34
Peste 55% · Sub 45%Goals 2.5Peste55%1.82
Da 58% · Nu 42%Ambele echipe marcheazăDa58%1.72
2.86 total expected goalsScor corect1–1
8.9 expected match cornersCornereSub 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin11.3%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimNiciuna
OutcomePredicțieCotă corectăReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Swift Hesperange win39%2.562.3039.1%
Egal26%3.853.5025.7%
Wiltz win35%2.862.5535.2%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Swift Hesperange1.49

Gazde share of expected goals 52.1%

Total expected goals2.86Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Peste 55% · Sub 45%

Wiltz1.37

Oaspeți share of expected goals 47.9%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitDa 58% · Nu 42%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Gazde-context · form sequence

Swift Hesperange

0.80pts / match
Jucate5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Puncte4

SignalGazde matches over 2.5: 3/5

Oaspeți-context · form sequence

Wiltz

0.50pts / match
Jucate2Wins0Drawn1Losses1Puncte1

SignalGazde failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
39%
Câștig probability excluding draw
35%
4
Points from supplied form
1
1.49
Expected goals
1.37
Swift HesperangeWiltz
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Swift Hesperange signalGazde matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Wiltz signalGazde failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk61% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Egal probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

Swift Hesperange vs Wiltz FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victorie gazde · Projected score 1–1 · 39% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Swift Hesperange câștig 39%,Egal 26%,Wiltz câștig 35%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.86 · Peste 2.5 55% · Current selection Peste