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NIR Irlande du Nord - Premier · Round 1 ·

Cliftonville vs Crusaders

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Domicile form
Projected score2–13.68 expected goals
Extérieur form
Victoire à domicile61%
Nul21%
Victoire à l’extérieur18%
Full model forecastVictoire à domicileTier A · 61% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoire à domicile61% selection probability
Projected score2–1CliftonvilleCrusaders
Expected goals3.68Ouverture match profile
Goals 2.5Plus de71% for the selected side
Les deux équipes marquentOui66% for the selected side
Expected corners10.3Plus de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSélectionProbabilitéCote juste
61% / 21% / 18%Résultat du matchVictoire à domicile61%1.64
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Crusaders win (18.1%)Double chance1X81.9%1.22
Plus de 71% · Moins de 29%Goals 2.5Plus de71%1.41
Oui 66% · Non 34%Les deux équipes marquentOui66%1.52
3.68 total expected goalsScore exact2–1
10.3 expected match cornersCornersPlus de 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin10.7%Largest probability gapCliftonville winDifference-0.1 pp
OutcomePronosticCote justeReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Cliftonville win61%1.641.4861.1%-0.1 pp
Nul21%4.764.3320.9%+0.1 pp
Crusaders win18%5.565.0018.1%-0.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Cliftonville2.41

Domicile share of expected goals 65.5%

Total expected goals3.68Ouverture

Dedicated goals model: Plus de 71% · Moins de 29%

Crusaders1.27

Extérieur share of expected goals 34.5%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitOui 66% · Non 34%Match profileOuverture
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domicile-context · form sequence

Cliftonville

1.20pts / match
Joués5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Points6

SignalDomicile matches over 2.5: 4/5

Extérieur-context · form sequence

Crusaders

2.00pts / match
Joués5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Points10

SignalExtérieur unbeaten 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
61%
Gagné probability excluding draw
18%
6
Points from supplied form
10
2.41
Expected goals
1.27
CliftonvilleCrusaders
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Cliftonville signalDomicile matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Crusaders signalExtérieur unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk39% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Nul probability alone is 21%.

Match questions

Cliftonville vs Crusaders FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoire à domicile · Projected score 2–1 · 61% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Cliftonville victoire 61%,Nul 21%,Crusaders victoire 18%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.68 · Plus de 2.5 71% · Current selection Plus de