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NIR Northern Ireland Premier · Round 1 ·

Cliftonville vs Crusaders

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Chủ nhà form
Projected score2–13.68 expected goals
Khách form
Chủ nhà thắng61%
Hòa21%
Đội khách thắng18%
Full model forecastChủ nhà thắngTier A · 61% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callChủ nhà thắng61% selection probability
Projected score2–1CliftonvilleCrusaders
Expected goals3.68Mở match profile
Goals 2.5Tài71% for the selected side
Cả hai đội ghi bàn66% for the selected side
Expected corners10.3Tài 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketLựa chọnXác suấtTỷ lệ công bằng
61% / 21% / 18%Kết quả trận đấuChủ nhà thắng61%1.64
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Crusaders win (18.1%)Cơ hội kép1X81.9%1.22
Tài 71% · Xỉu 29%Goals 2.5Tài71%1.41
Có 66% · Không 34%Cả hai đội ghi bàn66%1.52
3.68 total expected goalsTỷ số chính xác2–1
10.3 expected match cornersPhạt gócTài 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin10.7%Largest probability gapCliftonville winDifference-0.1 pp
OutcomeDự đoánTỷ lệ công bằngReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Cliftonville win61%1.641.4861.1%-0.1 pp
Hòa21%4.764.3320.9%+0.1 pp
Crusaders win18%5.565.0018.1%-0.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Cliftonville2.41

Chủ nhà share of expected goals 65.5%

Total expected goals3.68Mở

Dedicated goals model: Tài 71% · Xỉu 29%

Crusaders1.27

Khách share of expected goals 34.5%

Projected score2–1BTTS split 66% · Không 34%Match profileMở
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Chủ nhà-context · form sequence

Cliftonville

1.20pts / match
Số trận5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Điểm6

SignalChủ nhà matches over 2.5: 4/5

Khách-context · form sequence

Crusaders

2.00pts / match
Số trận5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Điểm10

SignalKhách unbeaten 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
61%
Thắng probability excluding draw
18%
6
Points from supplied form
10
2.41
Expected goals
1.27
CliftonvilleCrusaders
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Cliftonville signalChủ nhà matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Crusaders signalKhách unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk39% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Hòa probability alone is 21%.

Match questions

Cliftonville vs Crusaders FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Chủ nhà thắng · Projected score 2–1 · 61% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Cliftonville thắng 61%,Hòa 21%,Crusaders thắng 18%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.68 · Tài 2.5 71% · Current selection Tài